Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

64
+8.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,269.42
Current Value
$13,199.04
Period P&L
$929.62
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$277,760.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$929.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$929.62
Gross Return
+7.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,269.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $180.45 67 $12,090.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $182.56 67 $12,231.52 $12,269.42 +$141.37
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.21 67 $12,141.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $186.42 67 $12,490.14 $12,618.49 +$349.07
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $187.48 67 $12,561.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $185.53 67 $12,430.45 $12,487.78 $-130.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.37 68 $12,469.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $183.28 68 $12,463.04 $12,481.66 $-6.12
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $183.13 68 $12,452.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $187.05 68 $12,719.40 $12,748.22 +$266.56
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $188.02 67 $12,597.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $187.79 67 $12,581.93 $12,732.81 $-15.41
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $185.39 68 $12,606.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $187.14 68 $12,725.52 $12,851.81 +$119.00
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $182.89 70 $12,802.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $184.57 70 $12,920.25 $12,969.76 +$117.95
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $185.49 69 $12,799.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $183.34 69 $12,650.46 $12,821.07 $-148.69
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $187.72 68 $12,764.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $191.64 68 $13,031.52 $13,087.82 +$266.75
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:40am ET $194.93 67 $13,060.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $196.59 67 $13,171.53 $13,199.04 +$111.22
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,199.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,199.04
Total Return: +31.99%
Back to Anchor