ADBE Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+16.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,774.58
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$6,693.06
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
9.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 9.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-7.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,693.06
Current Value
$7,774.58
Period P&L
$1,081.54
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
18 /
20
Best Trade
+7.15%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$561,905.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,081.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,081.54
Gross Return
+16.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $6,693.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $198.76 | 34 | $6,757.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.92 | 34 | $6,593.28 | $6,693.06 |
$-164.56 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $200.40 | 33 | $6,613.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.02 | 33 | $6,798.82 | $6,878.69 |
+$185.63 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.85 | 33 | $6,760.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $202.76 | 33 | $6,691.08 | $6,809.71 |
$-68.97 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $211.82 | 32 | $6,778.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.38 | 32 | $6,956.32 | $6,987.95 |
+$178.24 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.46 | 32 | $6,894.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $213.10 | 32 | $6,819.36 | $6,912.75 |
$-75.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $227.74 | 30 | $6,832.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $225.32 | 30 | $6,759.60 | $6,840.15 |
$-72.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $220.57 | 31 | $6,837.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.09 | 31 | $6,636.79 | $6,639.27 |
$-200.88 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $224.35 | 29 | $6,506.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.74 | 29 | $6,604.46 | $6,737.58 |
+$98.31 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.20 | 30 | $6,606.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.89 | 30 | $6,776.70 | $6,908.28 |
+$170.70 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $222.83 | 31 | $6,907.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.26 | 31 | $7,323.91 | $7,324.46 |
+$416.18 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.41 | 31 | $7,111.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.98 | 31 | $7,129.38 | $7,342.12 |
+$17.67 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.26 | 32 | $7,240.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $222.70 | 32 | $7,126.40 | $7,228.20 |
$-113.92 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $215.89 | 33 | $7,124.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $213.65 | 33 | $7,050.29 | $7,154.12 |
$-74.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $225.11 | 31 | $6,978.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 31 | $7,155.42 | $7,331.13 |
+$177.01 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $252.53 | 29 | $7,323.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:10pm ET | $249.73 | 29 | $7,242.03 | $7,249.79 |
$-81.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:10pm ET | $262.41 | 27 | $7,085.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.55 | 27 | $6,791.85 | $6,956.57 |
$-293.22 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.48 | 28 | $6,789.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.82 | 28 | $7,274.96 | $7,442.23 |
+$485.66 (+7.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.63 | 29 | $7,268.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.35 | 29 | $7,550.01 | $7,723.96 |
+$281.73 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.79 | 30 | $7,553.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.89 | 30 | $7,886.70 | $8,056.96 |
+$333.00 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.05 | 30 | $7,921.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $269.63 | 30 | $8,088.90 | $8,224.21 |
+$167.25 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.64 | 31 | $7,986.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.60 | 31 | $8,078.60 | $8,315.97 |
+$91.76 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $264.14 | 31 | $8,188.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.90 | 31 | $8,056.90 | $8,184.68 |
$-131.29 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $265.99 | 30 | $7,979.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $263.20 | 30 | $7,896.00 | $8,100.98 |
$-83.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $272.58 | 29 | $7,904.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.49 | 29 | $7,902.21 | $8,098.37 |
$-2.61 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $270.65 | 29 | $7,848.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $275.49 | 29 | $7,989.21 | $8,238.58 |
+$140.21 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $270.65 | 29 | $7,848.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.52 | 29 | $7,700.08 | $8,089.66 |
$-148.92 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET | $287.14 | 28 | $8,040.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $290.17 | 28 | $8,124.62 | $8,174.22 |
+$84.56 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.54 | 28 | $8,051.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.30 | 28 | $8,156.40 | $8,279.46 |
+$105.24 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $283.71 | 29 | $8,227.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $280.66 | 29 | $8,139.14 | $8,191.01 |
$-88.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $285.24 | 28 | $7,986.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.70 | 28 | $7,467.60 | $7,671.89 |
$-519.12 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.90 | 29 | $7,450.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.54 | 29 | $7,468.66 | $7,690.45 |
+$18.56 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.72 | 30 | $7,551.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $249.01 | 30 | $7,470.45 | $7,609.30 |
$-81.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $252.25 | 30 | $7,567.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.36 | 30 | $7,840.80 | $7,882.60 |
+$273.30 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.70 | 30 | $7,851.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.48 | 30 | $7,754.55 | $7,786.15 |
$-96.45 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $252.68 | 30 | $7,580.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $250.06 | 30 | $7,501.80 | $7,707.70 |
$-78.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $249.99 | 30 | $7,499.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.92 | 30 | $7,467.60 | $7,675.60 |
$-32.10 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.36 | 31 | $7,668.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $244.84 | 31 | $7,590.10 | $7,597.54 |
$-78.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $237.85 | 31 | $7,373.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.56 | 31 | $7,550.24 | $7,774.58 |
+$177.04 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,774.58
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,225.42
Total Return:
-22.25%