Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:33:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.6%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,371.03
Current Value
$12,876.42
Period P&L
$-2,494.61
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
10 / 28
Best Trade
+11.85%
Worst Trade
-7.93%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
17.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,006,123.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,494.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,494.61
Gross Return
-16.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $15,371.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $522.73 29 $15,159.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $505.07 29 $14,647.03 $14,858.89 $-512.14
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $513.03 28 $14,364.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $500.30 28 $14,008.54 $14,502.59 $-356.30
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $580.82 24 $13,939.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $554.11 24 $13,298.64 $13,861.55 $-641.04
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $534.80 25 $13,370.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $527.99 25 $13,199.87 $13,691.30 $-170.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $560.94 24 $13,462.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $555.28 24 $13,326.60 $13,555.33 $-135.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $518.96 26 $13,493.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $513.31 26 $13,346.06 $13,408.34 $-146.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $553.23 24 $13,277.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $547.61 24 $13,142.64 $13,273.34 $-135.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $554.83 23 $12,760.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $535.52 23 $12,316.85 $12,829.21 $-444.13
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $553.63 23 $12,733.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $547.64 23 $12,595.72 $12,691.50 $-137.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $516.07 24 $12,385.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $508.84 24 $12,212.12 $12,517.94 $-173.55
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $462.46 27 $12,486.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 27 $13,965.48 $13,997.00 +$1,479.06
(+11.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $541.75 25 $13,543.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $542.73 25 $13,568.37 $14,021.63 +$24.62
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $547.30 25 $13,682.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $539.31 25 $13,482.75 $13,821.75 $-199.87
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $532.61 25 $13,315.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $526.63 25 $13,165.75 $13,672.25 $-149.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $458.43 29 $13,294.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $452.96 29 $13,135.84 $13,513.48 $-158.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $442.99 30 $13,289.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $436.71 30 $13,101.30 $13,325.08 $-188.40
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $482.76 27 $13,034.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 27 $13,755.83 $14,046.38 +$721.30
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $463.71 30 $13,911.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $458.07 30 $13,742.10 $13,877.18 $-169.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $526.42 26 $13,686.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $484.67 26 $12,601.42 $12,791.68 $-1,085.50
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $471.14 27 $12,720.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $497.82 27 $13,441.14 $13,511.91 +$720.23
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $477.42 28 $13,367.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $471.38 28 $13,198.64 $13,342.71 $-169.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $465.70 28 $13,039.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 28 $13,686.40 $13,989.65 +$646.94
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:40am ET $492.36 28 $13,786.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $487.06 28 $13,637.68 $13,841.11 $-148.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $511.32 27 $13,805.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $505.21 27 $13,640.67 $13,676.10 $-165.01
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $475.50 28 $13,314.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $468.69 28 $13,123.32 $13,485.42 $-190.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:20am ET $465.11 28 $13,023.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $476.35 28 $13,337.66 $13,799.86 +$314.44
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $459.50 30 $13,785.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET $454.38 30 $13,631.25 $13,646.11 $-153.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $476.55 28 $13,343.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 28 $13,301.12 $13,603.83 $-42.28
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $473.70 28 $13,263.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $472.67 28 $13,234.76 $13,574.99 $-28.84
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $467.18 29 $13,548.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $457.10 29 $13,255.76 $13,282.53 $-292.46
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $453.34 29 $13,146.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $443.55 29 $12,862.81 $12,998.37 $-284.16
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $472.77 27 $12,764.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 27 $13,199.76 $13,433.47 +$435.10
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $517.96 25 $12,948.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $508.70 25 $12,717.50 $13,202.09 $-231.38
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $511.90 25 $12,797.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 25 $12,144.63 $12,549.22 $-652.87
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $503.24 24 $12,077.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $519.12 24 $12,458.88 $12,930.34 +$381.12
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $547.32 23 $12,588.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $547.50 23 $12,592.50 $12,934.48 +$4.14
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $609.36 21 $12,796.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $614.38 21 $12,901.98 $13,039.80 +$105.32
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $618.98 21 $12,998.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $611.20 21 $12,835.20 $12,876.42 $-163.38
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,876.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,876.42
Total Return: +28.76%
Back to Anchor