Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:25:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.5/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 16.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.3%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.8 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,037.07
Current Value
$10,248.96
Period P&L
$1,211.89
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
16 / 19
Best Trade
+7.69%
Worst Trade
-1.47%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$686,317.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,211.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,211.89
Gross Return
+13.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,037.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $232.55 38 $8,836.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.85 38 $8,886.11 $8,923.26 +$49.21
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 39 $8,822.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $227.34 39 $8,866.26 $8,966.55 +$43.29
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:30am ET $242.49 36 $8,729.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $239.86 36 $8,634.96 $8,871.69 $-94.86
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $238.90 37 $8,839.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $238.36 37 $8,819.32 $8,851.53 $-20.16
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 39 $8,822.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $243.63 39 $9,501.38 $9,529.94 +$678.41
(+7.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:35am ET $244.36 38 $9,285.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $244.18 38 $9,278.95 $9,523.21 $-6.73
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $239.76 39 $9,350.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $250.10 39 $9,753.71 $9,926.28 +$403.07
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $247.94 40 $9,917.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $246.94 40 $9,877.60 $9,886.28 $-40.00
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $254.78 38 $9,681.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $253.68 38 $9,639.84 $9,844.48 $-41.80
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $245.95 40 $9,838.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $249.12 40 $9,964.60 $9,971.08 +$126.60
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $248.73 40 $9,949.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $245.43 40 $9,817.20 $9,839.08 $-132.00
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $236.28 41 $9,687.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $233.24 41 $9,562.84 $9,714.44 $-124.64
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $231.96 41 $9,510.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $234.84 41 $9,628.24 $9,832.32 +$117.88
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $230.85 42 $9,695.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET $228.29 42 $9,587.97 $9,724.80 $-107.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET $227.60 42 $9,558.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $233.36 42 $9,801.12 $9,966.93 +$242.13
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $267.42 37 $9,894.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 37 $10,321.52 $10,393.91 +$426.98
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $276.73 37 $10,239.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $281.59 37 $10,418.83 $10,573.73 +$179.82
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $273.05 38 $10,375.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $272.89 38 $10,369.82 $10,567.65 $-6.08
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $278.11 37 $10,290.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $278.40 37 $10,300.80 $10,578.38 +$10.73
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $271.65 38 $10,322.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET $268.80 38 $10,214.40 $10,470.21 $-108.17
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET $266.61 39 $10,397.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $264.88 39 $10,330.13 $10,402.55 $-67.66
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $261.60 39 $10,202.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $258.91 39 $10,097.49 $10,297.55 $-105.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $260.81 39 $10,171.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $261.43 39 $10,195.77 $10,321.73 +$24.18
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $262.67 39 $10,244.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $260.11 39 $10,144.29 $10,221.81 $-99.92
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $262.40 38 $9,971.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $262.52 38 $9,975.76 $10,226.29 +$4.48
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $259.38 39 $10,115.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $258.86 39 $10,095.54 $10,206.01 $-20.28
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $264.88 38 $10,065.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $261.96 38 $9,954.48 $10,095.05 $-110.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $255.00 39 $9,945.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $253.93 39 $9,903.34 $10,053.39 $-41.66
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $257.85 38 $9,798.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $259.36 38 $9,855.59 $10,110.68 +$57.29
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.89 39 $10,018.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $253.12 39 $9,871.68 $9,963.46 $-147.22
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $250.22 39 $9,758.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $254.04 39 $9,907.75 $10,112.63 +$149.17
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $253.43 39 $9,883.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $252.38 39 $9,842.63 $10,071.68 $-40.95
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $247.07 40 $9,882.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $250.83 40 $10,033.20 $10,222.08 +$150.40
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $253.06 40 $10,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $256.52 40 $10,260.80 $10,360.48 +$138.40
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $256.09 40 $10,243.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $253.30 40 $10,132.08 $10,248.96 $-111.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,248.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$248.96
Total Return: +2.49%
Back to Anchor