ARKK Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+11.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,086.38
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,932.74
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
25.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 25.7
30-Day Momentum
42
+4.1%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.0
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,932.74
Current Value
$11,086.38
Period P&L
$1,153.64
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+5.65%
Worst Trade
-1.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$714,599.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,153.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,153.64
Gross Return
+11.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,932.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.22 | 128 | $9,756.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.68 | 128 | $9,814.40 | $9,832.26 |
+$57.60 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.79 | 129 | $9,776.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.91 | 129 | $9,792.39 | $9,847.74 |
+$15.48 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.23 | 122 | $9,788.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.82 | 122 | $9,860.04 | $9,919.72 |
+$71.98 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $81.82 | 121 | $9,900.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $81.00 | 121 | $9,801.00 | $9,820.50 |
$-99.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $83.82 | 117 | $9,807.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.93 | 117 | $9,702.81 | $9,715.79 |
$-104.71 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.82 | 121 | $9,658.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $78.96 | 121 | $9,553.56 | $9,611.13 |
$-104.66 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $81.66 | 117 | $9,554.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.65 | 117 | $9,670.05 | $9,726.96 |
+$115.83 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.41 | 122 | $9,688.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $78.54 | 122 | $9,581.88 | $9,620.82 |
$-106.14 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $79.44 | 121 | $9,612.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.61 | 121 | $9,753.81 | $9,762.39 |
+$141.57 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.21 | 124 | $9,698.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $77.20 | 124 | $9,572.80 | $9,637.15 |
$-125.24 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $75.63 | 127 | $9,605.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.76 | 127 | $9,621.52 | $9,653.66 |
+$16.51 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $77.62 | 124 | $9,624.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.38 | 124 | $9,595.12 | $9,623.90 |
$-29.76 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.90 | 128 | $9,587.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $74.08 | 128 | $9,482.88 | $9,518.94 |
$-104.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $71.76 | 132 | $9,472.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.03 | 132 | $9,639.96 | $9,686.58 |
+$167.64 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.89 | 136 | $9,641.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.38 | 136 | $9,843.68 | $9,889.22 |
+$202.64 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $71.88 | 137 | $9,847.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.78 | 137 | $9,970.86 | $10,012.52 |
+$123.30 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.78 | 141 | $9,979.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.78 | 141 | $10,543.98 | $10,576.52 |
+$564.00 (+5.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.61 | 138 | $10,572.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.09 | 138 | $10,362.42 | $10,366.76 |
$-209.76 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $78.50 | 132 | $10,362.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.46 | 132 | $10,488.72 | $10,492.82 |
+$126.06 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.98 | 131 | $10,477.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.90 | 131 | $10,728.90 | $10,744.34 |
+$251.52 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $81.97 | 131 | $10,738.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.48 | 131 | $10,804.88 | $10,810.50 |
+$66.16 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.89 | 133 | $10,757.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.89 | 133 | $10,625.37 | $10,678.16 |
$-132.34 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $82.52 | 129 | $10,645.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.49 | 129 | $10,770.21 | $10,803.29 |
+$125.13 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $85.97 | 125 | $10,746.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.74 | 125 | $10,592.50 | $10,649.54 |
$-153.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $85.97 | 125 | $10,746.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.43 | 125 | $10,679.37 | $10,582.66 |
$-66.88 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $87.49 | 120 | $10,498.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.52 | 120 | $10,382.40 | $10,466.26 |
$-116.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.93 | 124 | $10,407.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.05 | 124 | $10,422.20 | $10,481.14 |
+$14.88 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $83.24 | 125 | $10,405.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.43 | 125 | $10,678.75 | $10,754.89 |
+$273.75 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.84 | 125 | $10,730.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.17 | 125 | $10,771.25 | $10,796.14 |
+$41.25 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $85.94 | 125 | $10,742.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $85.06 | 125 | $10,632.50 | $10,686.14 |
$-110.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $83.68 | 127 | $10,627.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.00 | 127 | $10,668.00 | $10,726.78 |
+$40.64 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.70 | 129 | $10,668.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.90 | 129 | $10,823.74 | $10,882.23 |
+$155.45 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $83.79 | 129 | $10,809.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $82.66 | 129 | $10,663.14 | $10,735.82 |
$-146.41 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $87.44 | 122 | $10,667.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.13 | 122 | $10,995.25 | $11,063.39 |
+$327.57 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $91.26 | 121 | $11,042.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.45 | 121 | $11,065.45 | $11,086.38 |
+$22.99 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,086.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,086.38
Total Return:
+10.86%