ARM Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 45 trades in period
-3.65%
Last 3 Months Return
$20,653.87
Current Value
24%
Win Rate
$21,436.10
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
62
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
28.9/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
62.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 61.7
30-Day Momentum
36
+6.8%
30d Return
31%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.1
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$21,436.10
Current Value
$20,653.87
Period P&L
$-782.24
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
11 /
34
Best Trade
+11.51%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
12.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,750,429.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-782.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-782.24
Gross Return
-3.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $21,436.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $354.19 | 60 | $21,251.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $350.04 | 60 | $21,002.40 | $21,187.11 |
$-249.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:45pm ET | $355.12 | 59 | $20,952.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $350.73 | 59 | $20,692.78 | $20,927.81 |
$-259.30 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $327.88 | 63 | $20,656.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.01 | 63 | $20,853.63 | $21,125.00 |
+$197.19 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $357.60 | 59 | $21,098.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.45 | 59 | $19,850.66 | $19,877.25 |
$-1,247.74 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $337.06 | 58 | $19,549.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $329.52 | 58 | $19,112.16 | $19,439.93 |
$-437.32 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $328.74 | 59 | $19,395.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $325.06 | 59 | $19,178.54 | $19,222.81 |
$-217.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $303.72 | 63 | $19,134.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $300.52 | 63 | $18,932.45 | $19,020.90 |
$-201.91 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $295.43 | 64 | $18,907.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.53 | 64 | $20,833.93 | $20,947.46 |
+$1,926.56 (+10.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.03 | 64 | $20,737.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $319.75 | 64 | $20,464.00 | $20,673.54 |
$-273.92 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $299.50 | 69 | $20,665.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.70 | 69 | $19,506.21 | $19,514.25 |
$-1,159.29 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $281.27 | 69 | $19,407.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $277.64 | 69 | $19,157.50 | $19,264.13 |
$-250.13 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $257.70 | 74 | $19,069.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $254.97 | 74 | $18,867.82 | $19,062.15 |
$-201.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $268.50 | 70 | $18,795.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $265.71 | 70 | $18,599.70 | $18,866.85 |
$-195.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $269.17 | 70 | $18,841.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.16 | 70 | $19,751.20 | $19,776.11 |
+$909.27 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $284.45 | 69 | $19,626.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $279.58 | 69 | $19,291.09 | $19,440.50 |
$-335.61 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $277.72 | 70 | $19,440.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $271.72 | 70 | $19,020.40 | $19,020.50 |
$-420.00 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $259.94 | 73 | $18,975.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $255.82 | 73 | $18,674.86 | $18,719.74 |
$-300.76 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $244.24 | 76 | $18,562.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.89 | 76 | $18,383.94 | $18,541.45 |
$-178.30 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $237.98 | 77 | $18,324.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $234.71 | 77 | $18,072.67 | $18,290.05 |
$-251.40 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET | $246.90 | 74 | $18,270.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $244.35 | 74 | $18,081.53 | $18,100.61 |
$-189.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $238.21 | 75 | $17,865.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.88 | 75 | $19,641.00 | $19,876.24 |
+$1,775.63 (+9.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.58 | 72 | $19,769.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $271.77 | 72 | $19,567.44 | $19,674.28 |
$-201.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $287.30 | 68 | $19,536.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.66 | 68 | $20,308.88 | $20,446.76 |
+$772.48 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.40 | 74 | $20,305.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $269.50 | 74 | $19,943.00 | $20,084.16 |
$-362.60 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $269.88 | 74 | $19,971.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $265.67 | 74 | $19,659.58 | $19,772.62 |
$-311.54 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $272.85 | 72 | $19,645.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.49 | 72 | $19,763.28 | $19,890.70 |
+$118.08 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.00 | 71 | $19,667.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $275.70 | 71 | $19,575.05 | $19,798.75 |
$-91.95 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.07 | 77 | $19,717.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $252.80 | 77 | $19,465.60 | $19,546.84 |
$-251.91 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $251.65 | 77 | $19,377.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $247.74 | 77 | $19,075.98 | $19,245.77 |
$-301.07 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $245.45 | 78 | $19,145.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.46 | 78 | $19,769.88 | $19,870.55 |
+$624.78 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.47 | 83 | $19,793.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $234.49 | 83 | $19,462.26 | $19,539.79 |
$-330.76 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $242.90 | 80 | $19,431.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.53 | 80 | $19,242.40 | $19,350.59 |
$-189.20 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $255.55 | 75 | $19,166.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $252.87 | 75 | $18,965.25 | $19,149.24 |
$-201.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $244.72 | 78 | $19,087.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $241.87 | 78 | $18,865.86 | $18,927.24 |
$-222.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $238.78 | 79 | $18,863.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.00 | 79 | $18,565.00 | $18,628.62 |
$-298.62 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $232.81 | 80 | $18,624.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $230.12 | 80 | $18,409.54 | $18,413.36 |
$-215.26 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $241.90 | 76 | $18,384.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.35 | 76 | $19,178.60 | $19,207.83 |
+$794.47 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $262.83 | 73 | $19,186.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.27 | 73 | $19,146.07 | $19,167.32 |
$-40.51 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $252.10 | 76 | $19,159.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.95 | 76 | $19,528.58 | $19,536.30 |
+$368.98 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.38 | 80 | $19,390.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $238.07 | 80 | $19,045.60 | $19,191.50 |
$-344.80 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $246.04 | 78 | $19,191.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $242.73 | 78 | $18,933.32 | $18,933.70 |
$-257.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $247.83 | 76 | $18,835.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $244.97 | 76 | $18,617.72 | $18,716.16 |
$-217.54 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $266.32 | 70 | $18,642.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.97 | 70 | $20,787.90 | $20,861.59 |
+$2,145.43 (+11.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $331.27 | 62 | $20,538.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.50 | 62 | $20,553.00 | $20,875.85 |
+$14.26 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.65 | 65 | $20,647.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $314.24 | 65 | $20,425.60 | $20,653.87 |
$-221.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,653.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,653.87
Total Return:
+106.54%