Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:55:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 10.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

12
-4.9%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,053.05
Current Value
$7,449.41
Period P&L
$-1,603.64
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
12 / 29
Best Trade
+4.12%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
16.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$645,964.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,603.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,603.64
Gross Return
-17.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,053.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $383.84 23 $8,828.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $379.87 23 $8,737.01 $8,961.74 $-91.31
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $379.38 23 $8,725.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $368.14 23 $8,467.22 $8,703.22 $-258.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $365.20 23 $8,399.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $361.48 23 $8,314.15 $8,617.66 $-85.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:15am ET $373.88 23 $8,599.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $370.91 23 $8,530.93 $8,549.35 $-68.31
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $369.27 23 $8,493.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:10am ET $365.30 23 $8,401.79 $8,457.93 $-91.42
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET $375.14 22 $8,253.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.46 22 $8,062.12 $8,266.97 $-190.96
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:50am ET $384.79 21 $8,080.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $400.66 21 $8,413.86 $8,600.24 +$333.27
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $397.88 21 $8,355.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $391.17 21 $8,214.67 $8,459.54 $-140.70
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $393.14 21 $8,255.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $389.14 21 $8,171.94 $8,375.51 $-84.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $381.70 21 $8,015.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $377.61 21 $7,929.81 $8,289.62 $-85.89
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $373.25 22 $8,211.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $380.11 22 $8,362.42 $8,440.54 +$150.92
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $385.67 21 $8,098.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $383.24 21 $8,048.04 $8,389.61 $-50.93
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $393.76 21 $8,268.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $389.72 21 $8,184.12 $8,304.88 $-84.74
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $383.77 21 $8,059.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $379.61 21 $7,971.81 $8,217.52 $-87.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $378.93 21 $7,957.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $375.64 21 $7,888.44 $8,148.32 $-69.19
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $379.89 21 $7,977.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $375.37 21 $7,882.77 $8,053.40 $-94.92
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET $383.42 21 $8,051.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $394.44 21 $8,283.24 $8,284.82 +$231.42
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.37 21 $8,092.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $377.94 21 $7,936.74 $8,128.79 $-156.03
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $420.14 19 $7,982.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $422.44 19 $8,026.36 $8,172.49 +$43.70
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $414.42 19 $7,873.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $429.19 19 $8,154.61 $8,453.12 +$280.63
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:55am ET $426.87 19 $8,110.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $421.53 19 $8,008.98 $8,351.57 $-101.55
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $418.46 19 $7,950.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $414.13 19 $7,868.47 $8,269.30 $-82.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $417.82 19 $7,938.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $415.44 19 $7,893.36 $8,224.08 $-45.22
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $412.50 19 $7,837.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $408.23 19 $7,756.37 $8,142.95 $-81.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:40am ET $394.21 20 $7,884.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $384.22 20 $7,684.44 $7,943.09 $-199.86
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $372.07 21 $7,813.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $363.65 21 $7,636.65 $7,766.19 $-176.90
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $363.71 21 $7,637.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $370.67 21 $7,784.07 $7,912.35 +$146.16
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $363.85 21 $7,640.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $360.07 21 $7,561.47 $7,833.06 $-79.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $357.00 21 $7,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $357.11 21 $7,499.21 $7,835.27 +$2.21
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $366.90 21 $7,704.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $373.67 21 $7,846.97 $7,977.34 +$142.07
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $366.89 21 $7,704.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $363.37 21 $7,630.77 $7,903.42 $-73.92
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $365.23 21 $7,669.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $346.93 21 $7,285.53 $7,519.12 $-384.30
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $355.82 21 $7,472.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.72 21 $7,638.12 $7,685.02 +$165.90
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.48 21 $7,654.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $359.80 21 $7,555.80 $7,586.74 $-98.28
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $363.73 20 $7,274.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $365.24 20 $7,304.80 $7,617.04 +$30.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 21 $7,333.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:40am ET $344.82 21 $7,241.22 $7,524.64 $-92.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $342.15 21 $7,185.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.21 21 $7,102.41 $7,441.79 $-82.85
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $340.96 21 $7,160.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $337.24 21 $7,082.04 $7,363.67 $-78.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $348.08 21 $7,309.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $352.42 21 $7,400.72 $7,454.71 +$91.04
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $358.97 20 $7,179.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $363.43 20 $7,268.60 $7,543.91 +$89.20
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $362.14 20 $7,242.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $357.41 20 $7,148.20 $7,449.41 $-94.50
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,449.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,550.59
Total Return: -25.51%
Back to Anchor