AXP Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+2.18%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,631.87
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$11,383.42
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.7/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
34.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 34.2
30-Day Momentum
9
-3.0%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,383.42
Current Value
$11,631.87
Period P&L
$248.44
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
15 /
20
Best Trade
+3.11%
Worst Trade
-1.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$817,773.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$248.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$248.44
Gross Return
+2.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.18%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,383.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $342.42 | 33 | $11,299.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.86 | 33 | $11,413.22 | $11,496.77 |
+$113.35 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.70 | 33 | $11,210.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.97 | 33 | $11,285.01 | $11,571.71 |
+$74.94 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $340.93 | 33 | $11,250.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $337.42 | 33 | $11,135.02 | $11,456.05 |
$-115.67 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $348.70 | 32 | $11,158.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.83 | 32 | $11,226.48 | $11,524.13 |
+$68.08 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.27 | 32 | $11,400.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.33 | 32 | $11,498.56 | $11,621.89 |
+$97.76 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.57 | 33 | $11,403.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.89 | 33 | $11,282.37 | $11,500.62 |
$-121.27 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $346.75 | 33 | $11,442.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.83 | 33 | $11,610.55 | $11,668.42 |
+$167.80 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $355.32 | 32 | $11,370.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.96 | 32 | $11,358.72 | $11,656.90 |
$-11.52 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $360.41 | 32 | $11,533.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $360.06 | 32 | $11,521.92 | $11,645.70 |
$-11.20 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.87 | 33 | $11,611.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.27 | 33 | $11,723.91 | $11,757.90 |
+$112.20 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.28 | 33 | $11,592.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.95 | 33 | $11,482.35 | $11,648.01 |
$-109.89 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.38 | 33 | $11,331.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $339.08 | 33 | $11,189.48 | $11,506.11 |
$-141.90 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $321.66 | 35 | $11,258.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.64 | 35 | $11,607.57 | $11,855.67 |
+$349.56 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.42 | 35 | $11,704.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.33 | 35 | $11,666.72 | $11,817.52 |
$-38.15 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $329.99 | 35 | $11,549.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.51 | 35 | $11,882.85 | $12,150.72 |
+$333.20 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $341.95 | 35 | $11,968.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.91 | 35 | $12,106.85 | $12,289.15 |
+$138.43 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $348.17 | 35 | $12,185.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.00 | 35 | $12,250.00 | $12,353.20 |
+$64.05 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.28 | 36 | $12,250.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.98 | 36 | $12,239.10 | $12,342.22 |
$-10.98 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $341.37 | 36 | $12,289.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.99 | 36 | $12,239.64 | $12,292.54 |
$-49.68 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $342.94 | 35 | $12,002.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.70 | 35 | $12,029.50 | $12,319.14 |
+$26.60 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.20 | 36 | $12,247.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $336.55 | 36 | $12,115.80 | $12,187.74 |
$-131.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET | $343.48 | 35 | $12,021.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:40pm ET | $339.73 | 35 | $11,890.55 | $12,056.32 |
$-131.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $331.70 | 36 | $11,941.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.89 | 36 | $12,056.04 | $12,171.16 |
+$114.84 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $341.69 | 35 | $11,959.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $338.21 | 35 | $11,837.35 | $12,049.36 |
$-121.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $337.26 | 35 | $11,804.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.86 | 35 | $11,754.93 | $12,000.19 |
$-49.17 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.02 | 35 | $11,690.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.82 | 35 | $11,718.70 | $12,028.19 |
+$28.00 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.00 | 36 | $11,916.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.68 | 36 | $11,760.48 | $11,872.67 |
$-155.52 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $329.21 | 36 | $11,851.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.73 | 36 | $12,014.28 | $12,035.39 |
+$162.72 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.96 | 36 | $11,806.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.96 | 36 | $11,698.56 | $11,927.21 |
$-108.18 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.50 | 36 | $11,610.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.43 | 36 | $11,535.48 | $11,852.69 |
$-74.52 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $324.87 | 36 | $11,695.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.90 | 36 | $11,660.58 | $11,817.95 |
$-34.74 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $324.60 | 36 | $11,685.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.57 | 36 | $11,576.52 | $11,708.87 |
$-109.08 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $313.77 | 37 | $11,609.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.90 | 37 | $11,466.48 | $11,565.87 |
$-143.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $311.82 | 37 | $11,537.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $314.97 | 37 | $11,653.89 | $11,682.60 |
+$116.73 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.54 | 38 | $11,572.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.20 | 38 | $11,521.60 | $11,631.87 |
$-50.73 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,631.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,631.87
Total Return:
+16.32%