Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

29
+5.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.5 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,898.40
Current Value
$8,947.24
Period P&L
$48.83
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
14 / 28
Best Trade
+7.05%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$733,618.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$48.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$48.83
Gross Return
+0.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,898.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $157.57 56 $8,824.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $157.87 56 $8,840.72 $8,935.92 +$16.52
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $149.74 59 $8,834.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $147.84 59 $8,722.56 $8,823.82 $-112.10
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $148.32 59 $8,750.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $146.60 59 $8,649.11 $8,722.04 $-101.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $145.78 59 $8,601.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $143.27 59 $8,452.93 $8,573.88 $-148.16
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $162.45 52 $8,447.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $160.66 52 $8,354.32 $8,480.80 $-93.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 52 $8,386.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $169.54 52 $8,816.08 $8,910.32 +$429.52
(+5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $159.23 55 $8,757.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $156.60 55 $8,613.00 $8,765.95 $-144.38
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $159.44 54 $8,609.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 54 $8,986.41 $9,142.60 +$376.65
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $158.87 57 $9,055.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $156.80 57 $8,937.88 $9,024.89 $-117.71
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET $157.75 57 $8,991.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 57 $9,463.71 $9,496.85 +$471.96
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $163.25 58 $9,468.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $159.85 58 $9,271.59 $9,299.94 $-196.91
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $153.20 60 $9,192.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $157.82 60 $9,468.90 $9,576.84 +$276.90
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $178.68 53 $9,470.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $176.21 53 $9,339.13 $9,445.71 $-131.14
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $166.38 56 $9,317.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $163.68 56 $9,165.80 $9,294.51 $-151.20
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $158.10 58 $9,169.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $155.47 58 $9,017.27 $9,141.97 $-152.53
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $161.61 56 $9,050.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $159.70 56 $8,943.20 $9,035.01 $-106.96
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $165.08 54 $8,914.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $163.41 54 $8,824.41 $8,945.10 $-89.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.21 55 $8,921.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 55 $8,430.40 $8,453.95 $-491.15
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.02 58 $8,353.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $141.38 58 $8,200.04 $8,300.98 $-152.97
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET $147.28 56 $8,247.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.45 56 $8,313.00 $8,366.30 +$65.32
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $146.71 57 $8,362.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $148.61 57 $8,470.77 $8,474.88 +$108.58
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $151.35 55 $8,323.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:00am ET $149.62 55 $8,228.83 $8,379.73 $-95.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET $148.52 56 $8,317.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $146.88 56 $8,225.28 $8,287.89 $-91.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $148.32 55 $8,157.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $151.90 55 $8,354.50 $8,485.06 +$197.17
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $150.44 56 $8,424.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:15am ET $148.66 56 $8,325.24 $8,385.66 $-99.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET $149.00 56 $8,344.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $147.85 56 $8,279.88 $8,321.54 $-64.12
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $163.07 51 $8,316.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $161.39 51 $8,230.89 $8,235.86 $-85.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $171.88 47 $8,078.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $182.00 47 $8,554.00 $8,711.50 +$475.64
(+5.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET $186.42 46 $8,575.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET $184.00 46 $8,464.00 $8,600.18 $-111.32
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $188.07 45 $8,463.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.01 45 $8,190.45 $8,327.48 $-272.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $181.60 45 $8,172.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $186.60 45 $8,397.00 $8,552.48 +$225.00
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $177.27 48 $8,508.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 48 $8,688.00 $8,731.52 +$179.04
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 50 $8,644.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $185.08 50 $9,254.00 $9,341.02 +$609.50
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $184.35 50 $9,217.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $180.76 50 $9,038.00 $9,161.27 $-179.75
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $178.66 51 $9,111.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $176.64 51 $9,008.64 $9,058.25 $-103.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $172.50 52 $8,970.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $173.80 52 $9,037.60 $9,125.85 +$67.60
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $190.62 47 $8,958.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $183.85 47 $8,640.95 $8,807.88 $-317.97
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $170.26 51 $8,683.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:15am ET $167.27 51 $8,530.77 $8,655.48 $-152.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET $167.67 51 $8,551.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $178.15 51 $9,085.90 $9,190.14 +$534.66
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $203.70 45 $9,166.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $201.33 45 $9,060.07 $9,083.71 $-106.43
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.06 45 $9,047.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $200.28 45 $9,012.43 $9,048.44 $-35.27
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $196.46 46 $9,036.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $194.26 46 $8,935.73 $8,947.24 $-101.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,947.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,052.76
Total Return: -10.53%
Back to Anchor