Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:34:17

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.7/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,363.50
Current Value
$9,361.62
Period P&L
$-1.87
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
9 / 22
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
23.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$592,120.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1.87
Gross Return
-0.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,363.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $102.69 91 $9,344.79
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $102.62 91 $9,338.42 $9,341.99 $-6.37
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $102.01 91 $9,282.91
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $101.08 91 $9,198.73 $9,257.81 $-84.18
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $102.75 90 $9,247.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $104.29 90 $9,386.10 $9,396.41 +$138.60
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $102.49 91 $9,326.82
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $101.41 91 $9,228.31 $9,297.90 $-98.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $100.25 92 $9,223.46
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 92 $9,799.38 $9,873.82 +$575.92
(+6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $110.02 89 $9,791.78
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $108.91 89 $9,692.99 $9,775.03 $-98.79
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $108.30 90 $9,747.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $108.15 90 $9,733.50 $9,761.53 $-13.50
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $104.46 93 $9,714.78
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $105.65 93 $9,825.45 $9,872.20 +$110.67
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
9 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $105.53 93 $9,814.29
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $105.26 93 $9,789.18 $9,847.09 $-25.11
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
10 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:45am ET $103.87 94 $9,763.78
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $103.71 94 $9,748.74 $9,832.05 $-15.04
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $101.90 96 $9,782.40
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $103.30 96 $9,916.80 $9,966.45 +$134.40
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $103.56 96 $9,941.76
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 96 $9,906.23 $9,930.92 $-35.53
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:05am ET $104.08 95 $9,887.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $103.81 95 $9,861.95 $9,905.27 $-25.65
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 95 $9,808.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $102.14 95 $9,703.30 $9,800.15 $-105.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $101.79 96 $9,771.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $100.37 96 $9,635.52 $9,664.19 $-135.96
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $100.75 95 $9,571.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $99.55 95 $9,457.25 $9,550.19 $-114.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $100.51 95 $9,548.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.48 95 $9,450.60 $9,452.35 $-97.84
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $99.26 95 $9,429.70
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $99.44 95 $9,446.80 $9,469.45 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $99.21 95 $9,425.42
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $98.57 95 $9,364.62 $9,408.65 $-60.80
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 95 $9,366.05
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28 $9,660.88 +$252.23
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $101.66 95 $9,657.70
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $101.43 95 $9,635.85 $9,639.03 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $100.50 95 $9,547.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $101.61 95 $9,652.48 $9,744.01 +$104.98
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $103.28 94 $9,708.32
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $102.21 94 $9,607.74 $9,643.43 $-100.58
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.24 93 $9,601.32
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $103.10 93 $9,588.30 $9,630.41 $-13.02
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $101.11 95 $9,605.45
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $100.07 95 $9,506.18 $9,531.14 $-99.27
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $98.87 96 $9,491.52
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $99.51 96 $9,552.96 $9,592.58 +$61.44
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $97.06 98 $9,511.88
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $96.08 98 $9,415.84 $9,496.54 $-96.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:25am ET $97.21 97 $9,429.85
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.24 97 $9,335.28 $9,401.96 $-94.57
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $98.23 95 $9,331.85
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $97.09 95 $9,223.44 $9,293.55 $-108.41
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $97.97 94 $9,209.65
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $97.30 94 $9,146.20 $9,230.10 $-63.45
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $95.51 96 $9,168.96
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $96.88 96 $9,300.48 $9,361.62 +$131.52
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,361.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-638.38
Total Return: -6.38%
Back to Anchor