Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:06:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

10
-1.7%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,774.85
Current Value
$12,402.80
Period P&L
$627.94
Max Drawdown
-12.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
16 / 26
Best Trade
+6.71%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
23.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,016,307.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$627.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$627.94
Gross Return
+5.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,774.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $25.06 469 $11,753.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $24.80 469 $11,628.86 $11,650.57 $-124.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $23.45 496 $11,631.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $23.20 496 $11,505.46 $11,524.83 $-125.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.42 471 $11,504.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $26.07 471 $12,276.62 $12,297.27 +$772.44
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET $25.35 485 $12,294.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:10am ET $25.03 485 $12,139.55 $12,142.07 $-155.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:45am ET $25.95 467 $12,120.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $25.66 467 $11,980.89 $12,001.98 $-140.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $25.68 467 $11,992.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $25.38 467 $11,852.46 $11,861.88 $-140.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET $26.53 447 $11,861.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.86 447 $12,006.42 $12,007.16 +$145.28
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $26.84 447 $11,997.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:55am ET $26.53 447 $11,858.91 $11,868.59 $-138.57
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET $26.80 442 $11,845.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:40am ET $26.51 442 $11,718.53 $11,741.52 $-127.07
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.92 436 $11,737.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.64 436 $11,615.04 $11,619.44 $-122.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $25.16 461 $11,596.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $25.47 461 $11,739.37 $11,762.35 +$142.91
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $25.07 469 $11,757.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:10am ET $24.82 469 $11,638.24 $11,642.75 $-119.59
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $24.26 479 $11,622.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $24.78 479 $11,872.01 $11,891.83 +$249.08
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $24.27 489 $11,868.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:25am ET $24.02 489 $11,745.78 $11,769.58 $-122.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $22.98 512 $11,765.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.64 512 $11,591.68 $11,595.50 $-174.08
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.00 504 $11,594.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $23.73 504 $11,960.42 $11,961.41 +$365.90
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $24.08 496 $11,943.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $24.47 496 $12,134.64 $12,152.17 +$190.76
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 505 $12,135.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $23.76 505 $12,001.32 $12,018.34 $-133.83
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:30am ET $23.43 512 $11,996.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $23.77 512 $12,170.24 $12,192.42 +$174.08
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $23.65 515 $12,179.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $23.40 515 $12,051.00 $12,063.67 $-128.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $21.64 557 $12,050.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.37 557 $11,903.09 $11,916.07 $-147.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:35pm ET $23.32 510 $11,893.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $23.69 510 $12,084.45 $12,107.32 +$191.25
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:45am ET $25.13 481 $12,087.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $25.13 481 $12,085.85 $12,105.64 $-1.68
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $25.44 475 $12,084.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $25.18 475 $11,960.50 $11,982.14 $-123.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $25.98 461 $11,974.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $26.22 461 $12,087.42 $12,095.08 +$112.94
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $25.10 481 $12,075.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $24.81 481 $11,931.21 $11,950.78 $-144.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $24.05 496 $11,928.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $25.31 496 $12,553.76 $12,575.74 +$624.96
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $25.72 488 $12,551.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $25.81 488 $12,595.33 $12,619.71 +$43.97
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $25.72 488 $12,551.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.47 488 $12,429.36 $12,497.71 $-122.00
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $24.85 502 $12,477.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $24.60 502 $12,351.71 $12,372.21 $-125.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.20 511 $12,366.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 511 $12,396.86 $12,402.87 +$30.66
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $23.75 522 $12,397.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $23.44 522 $12,238.29 $12,243.66 $-159.21
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $24.26 504 $12,227.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $24.68 504 $12,438.32 $12,454.94 +$211.28
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $24.00 518 $12,432.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $23.73 518 $12,289.55 $12,312.49 $-142.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $23.68 519 $12,292.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 519 $12,160.17 $12,180.15 $-132.34
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $23.28 523 $12,175.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $23.58 523 $12,332.34 $12,337.05 +$156.90
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $24.17 510 $12,324.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $25.05 510 $12,774.48 $12,787.38 +$450.33
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET $24.75 516 $12,771.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $24.47 516 $12,626.52 $12,642.90 $-144.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:55am ET $23.87 529 $12,627.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:20am ET $23.59 529 $12,479.11 $12,494.78 $-148.12
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:45am ET $22.26 561 $12,487.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $22.01 561 $12,350.41 $12,357.33 $-137.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $22.08 559 $12,339.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.39 559 $12,513.22 $12,530.62 +$173.29
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $21.56 581 $12,526.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $21.34 581 $12,398.54 $12,402.80 $-127.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,402.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,402.80
Total Return: +24.03%
Back to Anchor