HD Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-9.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,527.73
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$10,513.01
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
12.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.8
30-Day Momentum
10
-8.7%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,513.01
Current Value
$9,527.73
Period P&L
$-985.26
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
16 /
22
Best Trade
+3.29%
Worst Trade
-2.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$774,693.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-985.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-985.26
Gross Return
-9.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,513.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.75 | 31 | $10,036.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.21 | 31 | $10,205.51 | $10,400.48 |
+$169.18 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $345.39 | 30 | $10,361.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.79 | 30 | $10,433.55 | $10,472.48 |
+$72.00 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $345.91 | 30 | $10,377.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.30 | 30 | $10,419.00 | $10,514.18 |
+$41.70 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.39 | 29 | $10,219.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.70 | 29 | $10,170.30 | $10,465.31 |
$-48.86 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $353.25 | 29 | $10,244.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $348.18 | 29 | $10,097.22 | $10,318.28 |
$-147.03 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $349.74 | 29 | $10,142.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $346.10 | 29 | $10,036.90 | $10,212.72 |
$-105.56 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $333.48 | 30 | $10,004.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.16 | 30 | $10,084.80 | $10,293.12 |
+$80.40 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $342.20 | 30 | $10,265.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.94 | 30 | $10,318.08 | $10,345.35 |
+$52.23 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $337.04 | 30 | $10,111.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.19 | 30 | $10,265.70 | $10,500.00 |
+$154.65 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $347.09 | 30 | $10,412.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.80 | 30 | $10,464.00 | $10,551.30 |
+$51.30 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.87 | 31 | $10,442.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $332.40 | 31 | $10,304.40 | $10,412.73 |
$-138.57 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $331.74 | 31 | $10,283.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.06 | 31 | $10,386.86 | $10,515.65 |
+$102.92 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.39 | 32 | $10,476.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $323.35 | 32 | $10,347.20 | $10,386.37 |
$-129.28 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $330.20 | 31 | $10,236.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.08 | 31 | $10,573.33 | $10,723.49 |
+$337.13 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $345.17 | 31 | $10,700.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.74 | 31 | $10,469.94 | $10,493.16 |
$-230.33 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.02 | 31 | $10,354.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.00 | 31 | $10,353.86 | $10,492.49 |
$-0.67 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $335.11 | 31 | $10,388.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.48 | 31 | $10,554.88 | $10,658.93 |
+$166.44 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $348.22 | 30 | $10,446.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.90 | 30 | $10,557.00 | $10,769.34 |
+$110.41 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $352.57 | 30 | $10,576.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.01 | 30 | $10,560.30 | $10,752.69 |
$-16.65 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $355.29 | 30 | $10,658.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.10 | 30 | $10,593.00 | $10,686.99 |
$-65.70 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $343.97 | 31 | $10,663.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.39 | 31 | $10,552.09 | $10,576.01 |
$-110.98 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.51 | 31 | $10,400.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.91 | 31 | $10,506.21 | $10,681.56 |
+$105.55 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $346.17 | 30 | $10,385.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $342.29 | 30 | $10,268.70 | $10,565.01 |
$-116.55 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $335.98 | 31 | $10,415.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.46 | 31 | $10,430.26 | $10,579.74 |
+$14.73 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $337.35 | 31 | $10,457.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.01 | 31 | $10,354.31 | $10,476.20 |
$-103.54 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $336.02 | 31 | $10,416.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.80 | 31 | $10,192.80 | $10,252.38 |
$-223.82 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $327.85 | 31 | $10,163.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.67 | 31 | $10,126.77 | $10,215.80 |
$-36.58 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.31 | 31 | $10,053.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $320.92 | 31 | $9,948.52 | $10,110.71 |
$-105.09 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $319.51 | 31 | $9,904.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.82 | 31 | $9,914.42 | $10,120.48 |
+$9.77 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $316.50 | 31 | $9,811.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.35 | 31 | $9,930.85 | $10,239.83 |
+$119.35 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.02 | 33 | $10,230.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.93 | 33 | $10,161.85 | $10,171.03 |
$-68.80 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $309.24 | 32 | $9,895.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.25 | 32 | $9,832.00 | $10,107.35 |
$-63.68 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.62 | 32 | $9,939.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.07 | 32 | $9,826.14 | $9,993.65 |
$-113.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $307.23 | 32 | $9,831.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $303.69 | 32 | $9,718.08 | $9,880.53 |
$-113.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $302.96 | 32 | $9,694.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.34 | 32 | $9,546.88 | $9,732.69 |
$-147.84 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $299.30 | 32 | $9,577.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $296.11 | 32 | $9,475.36 | $9,630.29 |
$-102.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $300.54 | 32 | $9,617.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.50 | 32 | $9,648.00 | $9,661.17 |
+$30.88 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.86 | 32 | $9,499.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $292.69 | 32 | $9,366.08 | $9,527.73 |
$-133.44 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,527.73
Net Profit/Loss:
$-472.27
Total Return:
-4.72%