Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.8/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 60.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

42
+11.4%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,802.75
Current Value
$18,114.16
Period P&L
$4,311.41
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
15 / 26
Best Trade
+11.88%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,332,483.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,311.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,311.41
Gross Return
+31.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $13,802.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $102.58 134 $13,745.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $102.35 134 $13,714.36 $13,764.02 $-31.36
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $96.46 142 $13,697.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $94.76 142 $13,455.92 $13,522.62 $-241.40
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $96.98 139 $13,480.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $99.83 139 $13,877.06 $13,919.48 +$396.86
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $101.62 136 $13,820.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $100.15 136 $13,620.40 $13,719.15 $-200.33
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.79 127 $13,689.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 127 $14,871.07 $14,900.89 +$1,181.74
(+8.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $111.64 133 $14,848.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $115.82 133 $15,403.40 $15,455.50 +$554.61
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.75 139 $15,394.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $109.23 139 $15,182.97 $15,243.94 $-211.56
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $116.49 130 $15,143.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $115.18 130 $14,973.40 $15,073.64 $-170.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $112.00 134 $15,007.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $113.14 134 $15,160.09 $15,225.86 +$152.22
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET $110.32 138 $15,224.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $116.22 138 $16,039.05 $16,040.75 +$814.89
(+5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $112.25 142 $15,939.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $110.77 142 $15,729.34 $15,830.59 $-210.16
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $97.10 163 $15,827.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $100.29 163 $16,347.27 $16,350.56 +$519.97
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $106.97 152 $16,259.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $105.90 152 $16,097.56 $16,188.68 $-161.88
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $102.99 157 $16,168.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:30am ET $101.91 157 $15,999.87 $16,019.91 $-168.77
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $94.24 169 $15,926.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $97.23 169 $16,431.87 $16,525.22 +$505.31
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $89.82 183 $16,437.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $88.67 183 $16,226.61 $16,314.77 $-210.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET $91.36 178 $16,262.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:20am ET $90.17 178 $16,050.26 $16,102.95 $-211.82
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET $87.40 184 $16,082.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $86.23 184 $15,867.06 $15,887.49 $-215.46
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $86.52 183 $15,833.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $92.66 183 $16,956.78 $17,011.11 +$1,123.62
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET $93.84 181 $16,985.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $90.85 181 $16,443.85 $16,469.92 $-541.19
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:55am ET $94.24 174 $16,397.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $93.29 174 $16,232.46 $16,304.62 $-165.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $93.28 174 $16,230.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 174 $16,875.13 $16,949.03 +$644.41
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET $98.65 171 $16,869.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET $97.51 171 $16,674.21 $16,754.09 $-194.94
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:55am ET $96.99 172 $16,683.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $95.90 172 $16,494.80 $16,565.84 $-188.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $96.12 172 $16,532.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.85 172 $15,970.66 $16,003.86 $-561.98
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $97.74 163 $15,931.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $96.42 163 $15,716.46 $15,788.68 $-215.18
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $94.26 167 $15,741.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $101.13 167 $16,888.71 $16,935.97 +$1,147.29
(+7.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $106.42 159 $16,920.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $104.74 159 $16,652.87 $16,668.71 $-267.26
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $111.43 149 $16,603.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $110.17 149 $16,415.33 $16,480.97 $-187.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $107.72 152 $16,374.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.95 152 $16,560.38 $16,667.15 +$186.18
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $102.25 163 $16,665.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $100.95 163 $16,454.85 $16,456.06 $-211.09
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $105.41 156 $16,443.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $104.35 156 $16,278.60 $16,290.70 $-165.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $104.97 155 $16,270.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $117.44 155 $18,203.20 $18,223.57 +$1,932.87
(+11.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $121.00 150 $18,150.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.07 150 $18,759.75 $18,833.32 +$609.75
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $116.40 161 $18,740.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 161 $18,112.50 $18,205.42 $-627.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $113.59 160 $18,174.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $112.07 160 $17,931.20 $17,962.22 $-243.20
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $113.92 157 $17,885.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 157 $17,505.50 $17,582.28 $-379.94
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $106.78 164 $17,511.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:25am ET $105.48 164 $17,298.72 $17,369.08 $-213.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $106.65 162 $17,278.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $113.57 162 $18,399.15 $18,490.12 +$1,121.04
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $124.10 148 $18,366.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $124.59 148 $18,439.32 $18,563.38 +$73.26
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $122.77 151 $18,538.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $119.79 151 $18,089.04 $18,114.16 $-449.22
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,114.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,114.16
Total Return: +81.14%
Back to Anchor