IBM Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
-24.65%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,107.19
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$8,104.83
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
8.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,104.83
Current Value
$6,107.19
Period P&L
$-1,997.64
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
13 /
25
Best Trade
+4.90%
Worst Trade
-23.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.76%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$545,093.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,997.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,997.64
Gross Return
-24.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,104.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $262.81 | 30 | $7,884.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.23 | 30 | $7,987.05 | $8,230.08 |
+$102.75 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $270.03 | 30 | $8,100.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.93 | 30 | $8,157.90 | $8,287.08 |
+$57.00 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.75 | 30 | $8,212.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.19 | 30 | $8,495.70 | $8,570.28 |
+$283.20 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $285.50 | 30 | $8,565.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.91 | 30 | $8,637.30 | $8,642.58 |
+$72.30 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $310.42 | 27 | $8,381.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $306.76 | 27 | $8,282.52 | $8,543.90 |
$-98.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $301.62 | 28 | $8,445.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.37 | 28 | $7,990.29 | $8,088.80 |
$-455.10 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $292.68 | 27 | $7,902.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $289.66 | 27 | $7,820.82 | $8,007.13 |
$-81.67 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $292.70 | 27 | $7,903.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $289.74 | 27 | $7,822.98 | $7,927.07 |
$-80.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $217.51 | 36 | $7,830.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.20 | 36 | $8,035.20 | $8,131.73 |
+$204.66 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.59 | 39 | $8,018.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.82 | 39 | $8,377.98 | $8,491.56 |
+$359.83 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.81 | 40 | $8,432.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.73 | 40 | $8,589.00 | $8,648.16 |
+$156.60 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.70 | 41 | $8,638.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $208.54 | 41 | $8,550.14 | $8,559.57 |
$-88.59 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $205.89 | 41 | $8,441.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $203.80 | 41 | $8,356.00 | $8,474.08 |
$-85.49 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:00pm ET | $214.70 | 39 | $8,373.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.80 | 39 | $8,533.20 | $8,634.17 |
+$160.09 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $215.49 | 40 | $8,619.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.05 | 40 | $9,042.00 | $9,056.57 |
+$422.40 (+4.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $292.68 | 27 | $7,902.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $224.09 | 27 | $6,050.43 | $7,204.50 |
$-1,852.07 (-23.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $219.82 | 32 | $7,034.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $216.72 | 32 | $6,935.04 | $7,105.30 |
$-99.20 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $226.74 | 31 | $7,028.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.61 | 31 | $6,931.91 | $7,008.27 |
$-97.03 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $237.42 | 29 | $6,885.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.79 | 29 | $6,692.91 | $6,816.00 |
$-192.27 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $235.89 | 28 | $6,604.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $234.60 | 28 | $6,568.66 | $6,779.74 |
$-36.26 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $235.69 | 28 | $6,599.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.54 | 28 | $6,623.26 | $6,803.68 |
+$23.94 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $236.26 | 28 | $6,615.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $233.85 | 28 | $6,547.80 | $6,736.20 |
$-67.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $234.38 | 28 | $6,562.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.62 | 28 | $6,485.36 | $6,659.06 |
$-77.14 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $230.98 | 28 | $6,467.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.67 | 28 | $6,458.76 | $6,650.52 |
$-8.54 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.50 | 28 | $6,594.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.41 | 28 | $6,535.48 | $6,592.00 |
$-58.52 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.79 | 28 | $6,518.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.04 | 28 | $6,469.12 | $6,543.00 |
$-49.00 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.68 | 28 | $6,459.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.25 | 28 | $6,531.00 | $6,614.96 |
+$71.96 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $237.06 | 27 | $6,400.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.90 | 27 | $6,288.30 | $6,502.64 |
$-112.32 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.80 | 28 | $6,490.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.41 | 28 | $6,451.48 | $6,463.68 |
$-38.96 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $234.83 | 27 | $6,340.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.00 | 27 | $6,291.00 | $6,414.27 |
$-49.41 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.72 | 27 | $6,256.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.05 | 27 | $6,265.35 | $6,423.18 |
+$8.91 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.52 | 27 | $6,359.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $232.57 | 27 | $6,279.39 | $6,343.40 |
$-79.78 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $249.57 | 25 | $6,239.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.20 | 25 | $6,155.00 | $6,259.03 |
$-84.38 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.02 | 26 | $6,240.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $237.38 | 26 | $6,171.75 | $6,190.26 |
$-68.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $237.74 | 26 | $6,181.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.23 | 26 | $6,167.98 | $6,177.13 |
$-13.13 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $230.83 | 26 | $6,001.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $228.39 | 26 | $5,938.14 | $6,113.69 |
$-63.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $230.69 | 26 | $5,997.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.19 | 26 | $6,062.94 | $6,178.69 |
+$65.00 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 26 | $6,028.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.13 | 26 | $5,957.38 | $6,107.19 |
$-71.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,107.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,892.81
Total Return:
-38.93%