ISRG Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 35 trades in period
+15.66%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,841.43
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,238.22
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
30.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 30.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-1.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,238.22
Current Value
$11,841.43
Period P&L
$1,603.20
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
20 /
15
Best Trade
+5.79%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$770,079.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,603.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,603.20
Gross Return
+15.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,238.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.91 | 25 | $10,022.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.20 | 25 | $10,130.00 | $10,345.47 |
+$107.25 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $408.08 | 25 | $10,202.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.74 | 25 | $10,043.62 | $10,187.10 |
$-158.37 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $403.89 | 25 | $10,097.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.11 | 25 | $10,202.75 | $10,292.59 |
+$105.50 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $421.85 | 24 | $10,124.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.45 | 24 | $10,594.80 | $10,762.99 |
+$470.40 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $421.90 | 25 | $10,547.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $417.61 | 25 | $10,440.37 | $10,655.86 |
$-107.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $411.94 | 25 | $10,298.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $413.70 | 25 | $10,342.56 | $10,699.92 |
+$44.06 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $409.99 | 26 | $10,659.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.79 | 26 | $10,108.54 | $10,148.72 |
$-551.20 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $379.76 | 26 | $9,873.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.00 | 26 | $10,400.00 | $10,674.96 |
+$526.24 (+5.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.72 | 29 | $10,373.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $351.86 | 29 | $10,203.94 | $10,505.02 |
$-169.94 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $352.33 | 29 | $10,217.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $358.26 | 29 | $10,389.40 | $10,676.70 |
+$171.68 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $349.52 | 30 | $10,485.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $345.97 | 30 | $10,379.10 | $10,570.20 |
$-106.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $331.26 | 31 | $10,269.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.76 | 31 | $10,346.56 | $10,647.70 |
+$77.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $357.79 | 29 | $10,375.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.98 | 29 | $10,845.28 | $11,117.07 |
+$469.36 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.70 | 31 | $11,026.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $347.01 | 31 | $10,757.31 | $10,847.68 |
$-269.39 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $350.76 | 30 | $10,522.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.06 | 30 | $11,131.80 | $11,456.68 |
+$609.00 (+5.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.87 | 30 | $11,126.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $367.00 | 30 | $11,010.00 | $11,340.58 |
$-116.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $371.20 | 30 | $11,136.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.29 | 30 | $11,318.70 | $11,523.13 |
+$182.55 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $376.96 | 30 | $11,308.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.12 | 30 | $11,403.60 | $11,617.93 |
+$94.80 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $398.51 | 29 | $11,556.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.11 | 29 | $11,690.05 | $11,751.19 |
+$133.26 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $399.36 | 29 | $11,581.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.45 | 29 | $11,642.05 | $11,811.95 |
+$60.76 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.30 | 30 | $11,739.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.60 | 30 | $11,808.00 | $11,880.80 |
+$68.85 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $400.39 | 29 | $11,611.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $397.23 | 29 | $11,519.53 | $11,789.07 |
$-91.73 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $371.14 | 31 | $11,505.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.71 | 31 | $11,771.16 | $12,054.89 |
+$265.82 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.61 | 32 | $11,987.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $367.96 | 32 | $11,774.72 | $11,842.14 |
$-212.76 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $367.98 | 32 | $11,775.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.94 | 32 | $11,902.08 | $11,968.86 |
+$126.72 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $370.75 | 32 | $11,864.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.72 | 32 | $11,735.04 | $11,839.90 |
$-128.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.23 | 31 | $11,570.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $367.49 | 31 | $11,392.19 | $11,661.96 |
$-177.94 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $378.56 | 30 | $11,356.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $374.27 | 30 | $11,227.95 | $11,533.11 |
$-128.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $369.61 | 31 | $11,457.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.81 | 31 | $11,402.11 | $11,477.31 |
$-55.80 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 31 | $11,153.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $355.95 | 31 | $11,034.30 | $11,357.81 |
$-119.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $350.61 | 32 | $11,219.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.96 | 32 | $11,198.88 | $11,337.17 |
$-20.64 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $366.89 | 30 | $11,006.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.80 | 30 | $11,214.00 | $11,544.62 |
+$207.45 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.46 | 30 | $11,173.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.10 | 30 | $11,343.00 | $11,713.67 |
+$169.05 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $381.05 | 30 | $11,431.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.80 | 30 | $11,454.00 | $11,736.02 |
+$22.35 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.27 | 29 | $11,578.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.90 | 29 | $11,684.10 | $11,841.43 |
+$105.41 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,841.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,841.43
Total Return:
+18.41%