Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.8%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,247.27
Current Value
$7,343.98
Period P&L
$96.70
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 / 17
Best Trade
+2.46%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$478,935.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$96.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$96.70
Gross Return
+1.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,247.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $493.48 14 $6,908.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $494.56 14 $6,923.84 $7,250.35 +$15.05
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $501.48 14 $7,020.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $505.73 14 $7,080.22 $7,309.85 +$59.50
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $508.99 14 $7,125.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $516.00 14 $7,224.00 $7,407.99 +$98.14
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET $531.83 13 $6,913.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $526.33 13 $6,842.29 $7,336.48 $-71.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET $536.83 13 $6,978.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $531.16 13 $6,905.14 $7,262.83 $-73.65
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $517.44 14 $7,244.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $517.82 14 $7,249.48 $7,268.15 +$5.32
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $520.86 13 $6,771.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $533.69 13 $6,937.97 $7,434.94 +$166.79
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $535.44 13 $6,960.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $531.90 13 $6,914.70 $7,388.92 $-46.02
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $546.78 13 $7,108.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $549.24 13 $7,140.12 $7,420.97 +$32.04
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $540.70 13 $7,029.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $544.34 13 $7,076.42 $7,468.29 +$47.32
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $536.10 13 $6,969.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $526.73 13 $6,847.49 $7,346.41 $-121.88
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:55am ET $535.49 13 $6,961.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $545.06 13 $7,085.78 $7,470.82 +$124.41
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $560.71 13 $7,289.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $563.35 13 $7,323.61 $7,505.20 +$34.38
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:05am ET $569.84 13 $7,407.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $568.53 13 $7,390.89 $7,488.24 $-16.96
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $573.56 13 $7,456.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $566.67 13 $7,366.71 $7,398.67 $-89.57
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $571.80 12 $6,861.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $571.65 12 $6,859.80 $7,396.87 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $571.91 12 $6,862.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:50am ET $565.64 12 $6,787.71 $7,321.66 $-75.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $563.09 13 $7,320.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $562.21 13 $7,308.73 $7,310.22 $-11.44
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $558.15 13 $7,255.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $563.75 13 $7,328.75 $7,383.02 +$72.80
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET $566.06 13 $7,358.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $565.61 13 $7,352.99 $7,377.23 $-5.79
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $574.66 12 $6,895.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 12 $6,894.36 $7,375.67 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $572.53 12 $6,870.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $574.94 12 $6,899.28 $7,404.59 +$28.92
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $596.24 12 $7,154.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $597.71 12 $7,172.52 $7,422.23 +$17.64
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $596.98 12 $7,163.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $593.06 12 $7,116.72 $7,375.19 $-47.04
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $596.27 12 $7,155.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $590.24 12 $7,082.94 $7,302.89 $-72.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $588.93 12 $7,067.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $583.01 12 $6,996.06 $7,231.73 $-71.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $588.19 12 $7,058.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $592.26 12 $7,107.12 $7,280.57 +$48.84
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $581.58 12 $6,978.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $572.50 12 $6,870.00 $7,171.61 $-108.96
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $566.28 12 $6,795.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $565.00 12 $6,780.00 $7,156.31 $-15.30
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $570.46 12 $6,845.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $575.99 12 $6,911.88 $7,222.67 +$66.36
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $569.89 12 $6,838.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $571.64 12 $6,859.68 $7,243.66 +$20.99
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $566.20 12 $6,794.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $563.46 12 $6,761.52 $7,210.84 $-32.82
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $563.84 12 $6,766.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $569.21 12 $6,830.52 $7,275.34 +$64.50
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $555.72 13 $7,224.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $561.00 13 $7,293.00 $7,343.98 +$68.64
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,343.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,656.02
Total Return: -26.56%
Back to Anchor