MARA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-26 to present • 41 trades in period
+12.41%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,417.61
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$12,826.03
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
32.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 32.2
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.3%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,826.03
Current Value
$14,417.61
Period P&L
$1,591.58
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
11 /
30
Best Trade
+16.10%
Worst Trade
-2.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,117,025.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,591.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,591.58
Gross Return
+12.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,826.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $14.67 | 874 | $12,821.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $14.43 | 874 | $12,611.82 | $12,616.27 |
$-209.76 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $14.20 | 888 | $12,614.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.02 | 888 | $12,452.07 | $12,454.30 |
$-161.97 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.43 | 927 | $12,449.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $13.28 | 927 | $12,310.56 | $12,315.34 |
$-138.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $13.28 | 927 | $12,310.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.13 | 927 | $12,166.88 | $12,171.75 |
$-143.59 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $12.99 | 937 | $12,171.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.67 | 937 | $11,871.79 | $11,872.00 |
$-299.75 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.73 | 1,012 | $11,870.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.78 | 1,012 | $12,933.36 | $12,934.60 |
+$1,062.60 (+9.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $13.16 | 982 | $12,923.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.01 | 982 | $12,770.91 | $12,782.39 |
$-152.21 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $12.26 | 1,042 | $12,774.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $12.10 | 1,042 | $12,613.41 | $12,620.88 |
$-161.51 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $12.13 | 1,040 | $12,615.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $11.89 | 1,040 | $12,360.40 | $12,365.98 |
$-254.90 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $12.07 | 1,024 | $12,364.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.13 | 1,024 | $12,416.00 | $12,417.18 |
+$51.20 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.70 | 1,160 | $12,412.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.57 | 1,160 | $12,267.00 | $12,272.18 |
$-145.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $11.80 | 1,040 | $12,266.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.66 | 1,040 | $12,126.40 | $12,131.78 |
$-140.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $12.50 | 970 | $12,125.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $12.31 | 970 | $11,935.85 | $11,942.63 |
$-189.15 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $12.90 | 926 | $11,940.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $12.73 | 926 | $11,792.61 | $11,794.46 |
$-148.16 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $12.15 | 971 | $11,792.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.06 | 971 | $11,710.26 | $11,711.93 |
$-82.54 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.90 | 1,074 | $11,701.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.38 | 1,074 | $12,216.75 | $12,227.45 |
+$515.52 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $11.85 | 1,031 | $12,217.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.03 | 1,031 | $12,408.08 | $12,418.18 |
+$190.73 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.15 | 1,113 | $12,409.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.65 | 1,113 | $12,966.45 | $12,974.68 |
+$556.50 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.65 | 1,113 | $12,968.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $11.53 | 1,113 | $12,838.45 | $12,844.46 |
$-130.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $11.01 | 1,166 | $12,837.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $10.90 | 1,166 | $12,703.57 | $12,710.37 |
$-134.09 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $9.97 | 1,274 | $12,706.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.95 | 1,274 | $12,676.30 | $12,679.92 |
$-30.45 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $9.68 | 1,309 | $12,675.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.16 | 1,309 | $13,298.13 | $13,302.61 |
+$622.69 (+4.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.46 | 1,406 | $13,300.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.36 | 1,406 | $13,163.96 | $13,165.81 |
$-136.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.05 | 1,454 | $13,158.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.21 | 1,454 | $13,392.79 | $13,399.76 |
+$233.95 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.45 | 1,417 | $13,390.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $9.24 | 1,417 | $13,093.08 | $13,102.19 |
$-297.57 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.82 | 1,485 | $13,097.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.24 | 1,485 | $15,206.40 | $15,211.04 |
+$2,108.85 (+16.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.13 | 1,367 | $15,207.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.26 | 1,367 | $15,392.42 | $15,395.59 |
+$184.55 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.13 | 1,367 | $15,207.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.58 | 1,367 | $15,829.86 | $16,017.57 |
+$621.98 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $12.10 | 1,323 | $16,008.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $11.97 | 1,323 | $15,836.31 | $15,845.58 |
$-171.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $10.76 | 1,472 | $15,840.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $10.65 | 1,472 | $15,675.33 | $15,680.13 |
$-165.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.45 | 1,500 | $15,675.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.23 | 1,500 | $15,342.75 | $15,347.88 |
$-332.25 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.14 | 1,514 | $15,344.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.65 | 1,514 | $16,116.53 | $16,120.02 |
+$772.14 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.27 | 1,430 | $16,116.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.17 | 1,430 | $15,973.10 | $15,977.02 |
$-143.00 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.76 | 1,359 | $15,975.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.62 | 1,359 | $15,791.58 | $15,793.55 |
$-183.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $12.11 | 1,303 | $15,785.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $11.93 | 1,303 | $15,538.28 | $15,545.98 |
$-247.57 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $11.60 | 1,340 | $15,544.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.48 | 1,340 | $15,376.50 | $15,378.48 |
$-167.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $11.34 | 1,356 | $15,377.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $11.23 | 1,356 | $15,221.10 | $15,222.54 |
$-155.94 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $11.66 | 1,305 | $15,216.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $11.54 | 1,305 | $15,056.70 | $15,062.94 |
$-159.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $13.41 | 1,122 | $15,051.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $13.25 | 1,122 | $14,866.50 | $14,877.81 |
$-185.13 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $13.70 | 1,085 | $14,864.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.43 | 1,085 | $14,571.55 | $14,584.86 |
$-292.95 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.08 | 1,115 | $14,584.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $12.93 | 1,115 | $14,416.95 | $14,417.61 |
$-167.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,417.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,417.61
Total Return:
+44.18%