MCD Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
-8.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,529.44
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$9,294.77
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.6
30-Day Momentum
10
-2.6%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,294.77
Current Value
$8,529.44
Period P&L
$-765.33
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
10 /
27
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-1.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$660,247.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-765.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-765.33
Gross Return
-8.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,294.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $273.65 | 34 | $9,304.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.51 | 34 | $9,265.34 | $9,477.41 |
$-38.76 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $265.64 | 35 | $9,297.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.16 | 35 | $9,490.60 | $9,670.44 |
+$193.03 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $270.14 | 35 | $9,454.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $269.68 | 35 | $9,438.80 | $9,654.33 |
$-16.10 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $278.21 | 34 | $9,459.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $275.00 | 34 | $9,350.00 | $9,545.02 |
$-109.31 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $283.93 | 33 | $9,369.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $281.02 | 33 | $9,273.66 | $9,448.82 |
$-96.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $276.13 | 34 | $9,388.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $273.02 | 34 | $9,282.68 | $9,343.08 |
$-105.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $274.69 | 34 | $9,339.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.16 | 34 | $9,287.44 | $9,291.06 |
$-52.02 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $271.73 | 34 | $9,238.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $268.84 | 34 | $9,140.56 | $9,192.66 |
$-98.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $266.33 | 34 | $9,055.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.76 | 34 | $9,103.84 | $9,241.45 |
+$48.79 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $272.48 | 33 | $8,992.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $269.52 | 33 | $8,894.01 | $9,143.46 |
$-97.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $267.23 | 34 | $9,085.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.11 | 34 | $9,047.91 | $9,105.55 |
$-37.91 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $263.99 | 34 | $8,975.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.72 | 34 | $8,932.48 | $9,062.37 |
$-43.18 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $265.48 | 34 | $9,026.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.55 | 34 | $9,096.70 | $9,132.75 |
+$70.38 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $276.73 | 33 | $9,132.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $273.10 | 33 | $9,012.30 | $9,012.96 |
$-119.79 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $272.10 | 33 | $8,979.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.75 | 33 | $8,934.75 | $8,968.41 |
$-44.55 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.82 | 33 | $8,805.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $275.40 | 33 | $9,088.20 | $9,251.55 |
+$283.14 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $268.82 | 34 | $9,139.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $265.68 | 34 | $9,033.29 | $9,144.96 |
$-106.59 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $272.72 | 33 | $8,999.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $275.14 | 33 | $9,079.46 | $9,224.66 |
+$79.70 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.54 | 33 | $9,059.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.08 | 33 | $9,044.64 | $9,209.48 |
$-15.18 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $271.85 | 33 | $8,971.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.50 | 33 | $8,926.50 | $9,164.93 |
$-44.55 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $274.92 | 33 | $9,072.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.67 | 33 | $8,998.11 | $9,090.68 |
$-74.25 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.27 | 33 | $8,919.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $266.79 | 33 | $8,804.07 | $8,975.68 |
$-115.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $268.51 | 33 | $8,860.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.29 | 33 | $8,787.57 | $8,902.42 |
$-73.26 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $269.76 | 33 | $8,902.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.28 | 33 | $8,853.24 | $8,853.58 |
$-48.84 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $271.14 | 32 | $8,676.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.41 | 32 | $8,717.12 | $8,894.22 |
+$40.64 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $268.07 | 33 | $8,846.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.36 | 33 | $8,756.88 | $8,804.79 |
$-89.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $263.58 | 33 | $8,698.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.79 | 33 | $8,705.07 | $8,811.72 |
+$6.93 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.17 | 33 | $8,651.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.41 | 33 | $8,626.53 | $8,786.64 |
$-25.08 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $259.44 | 33 | $8,561.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.79 | 33 | $8,474.07 | $8,699.19 |
$-87.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $255.86 | 34 | $8,699.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.65 | 34 | $8,658.10 | $8,658.12 |
$-41.07 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.50 | 34 | $8,653.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.99 | 34 | $8,669.83 | $8,674.95 |
+$16.83 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $252.83 | 34 | $8,596.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.65 | 34 | $8,657.93 | $8,736.66 |
+$61.71 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.38 | 33 | $8,493.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $254.59 | 33 | $8,401.47 | $8,644.67 |
$-91.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $251.51 | 34 | $8,551.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.30 | 34 | $8,510.20 | $8,603.36 |
$-41.31 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.03 | 34 | $8,433.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.54 | 34 | $8,484.53 | $8,654.87 |
+$51.51 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $250.30 | 34 | $8,510.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.38 | 34 | $8,478.92 | $8,623.59 |
$-31.28 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $240.51 | 35 | $8,417.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $237.82 | 35 | $8,323.70 | $8,529.44 |
$-94.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,529.44
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,470.56
Total Return:
-14.71%