MRNA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+94.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,107.32
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$7,760.64
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
34.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 34.7
30-Day Momentum
50
+11.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.4
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,760.64
Current Value
$15,107.32
Period P&L
$7,346.66
Max Drawdown
-20.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
17 /
22
Best Trade
+88.65%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+2.39%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$809,838.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,346.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,346.66
Gross Return
+94.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+94.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,760.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $66.61 | 116 | $7,727.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $65.86 | 116 | $7,639.18 | $7,672.49 |
$-88.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $71.48 | 107 | $7,648.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $70.39 | 107 | $7,531.88 | $7,556.01 |
$-116.48 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $72.81 | 103 | $7,499.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $71.89 | 103 | $7,404.16 | $7,460.27 |
$-95.74 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.97 | 95 | $7,407.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.15 | 95 | $7,804.25 | $7,857.37 |
+$397.10 (+5.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.85 | 100 | $7,785.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.84 | 100 | $7,584.00 | $7,656.37 |
$-201.00 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $75.25 | 101 | $7,600.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.51 | 101 | $7,727.51 | $7,783.13 |
+$126.76 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.62 | 118 | $7,743.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.61 | 118 | $7,859.98 | $7,899.95 |
+$116.82 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $66.78 | 118 | $7,880.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $66.09 | 118 | $7,798.62 | $7,818.02 |
$-81.93 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $63.95 | 122 | $7,801.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63.19 | 122 | $7,709.18 | $7,725.73 |
$-92.29 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $61.63 | 125 | $7,703.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 125 | $7,724.37 | $7,746.35 |
+$20.62 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.58 | 130 | $7,745.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $58.84 | 130 | $7,649.21 | $7,650.45 |
$-95.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $58.99 | 129 | $7,610.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $58.35 | 129 | $7,527.15 | $7,567.25 |
$-83.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.76 | 133 | $7,549.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.67 | 133 | $7,537.11 | $7,555.28 |
$-11.97 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.60 | 135 | $7,506.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.47 | 135 | $7,354.12 | $7,402.73 |
$-152.55 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $55.06 | 134 | $7,378.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $54.49 | 134 | $7,301.66 | $7,326.35 |
$-76.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $56.22 | 130 | $7,308.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.11 | 130 | $7,424.30 | $7,442.05 |
+$115.70 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.92 | 135 | $7,414.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.92 | 135 | $7,144.20 | $7,171.37 |
$-270.68 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $57.18 | 125 | $7,147.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.51 | 125 | $7,189.37 | $7,213.24 |
+$41.87 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.74 | 129 | $7,191.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $55.09 | 129 | $7,106.61 | $7,128.75 |
$-84.49 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.25 | 120 | $7,110.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.22 | 120 | $7,226.40 | $7,245.15 |
+$116.40 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $63.56 | 113 | $7,182.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.80 | 113 | $7,209.40 | $7,272.27 |
+$27.12 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.71 | 117 | $7,220.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.79 | 117 | $7,580.77 | $7,632.97 |
+$360.70 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.60 | 121 | $7,574.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.10 | 121 | $14,290.03 | $14,348.16 |
+$6,715.19 (+88.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.05 | 97 | $14,263.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $141.58 | 97 | $13,733.26 | $13,817.73 |
$-530.43 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $148.71 | 92 | $13,681.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $145.73 | 92 | $13,406.70 | $13,543.21 |
$-274.52 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $136.74 | 99 | $13,536.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.42 | 99 | $14,594.13 | $14,600.57 |
+$1,057.36 (+7.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.44 | 93 | $14,455.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.50 | 93 | $13,996.50 | $14,141.15 |
$-459.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.38 | 99 | $14,095.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $140.57 | 99 | $13,915.94 | $13,961.46 |
$-179.69 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $137.24 | 101 | $13,861.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.68 | 101 | $13,805.18 | $13,904.90 |
$-56.56 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $150.68 | 92 | $13,862.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $147.81 | 92 | $13,598.52 | $13,641.32 |
$-263.58 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $137.24 | 101 | $13,861.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $144.78 | 101 | $14,622.78 | $14,402.36 |
+$761.04 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $145.45 | 99 | $14,399.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.47 | 99 | $14,401.53 | $14,404.34 |
+$1.98 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.31 | 102 | $14,311.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.68 | 102 | $14,043.69 | $14,136.85 |
$-267.49 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $132.08 | 107 | $14,132.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.09 | 107 | $14,775.95 | $14,780.24 |
+$643.39 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.32 | 101 | $14,677.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.88 | 101 | $14,430.88 | $14,533.80 |
$-246.44 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.34 | 102 | $14,518.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.37 | 102 | $14,827.74 | $14,843.37 |
+$309.57 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $156.59 | 94 | $14,718.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.80 | 94 | $14,927.20 | $15,051.58 |
+$208.21 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $167.21 | 90 | $15,048.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.56 | 90 | $15,260.40 | $15,263.53 |
+$211.95 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $183.96 | 82 | $15,084.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET | $182.05 | 82 | $14,928.51 | $15,107.32 |
$-156.21 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,107.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,107.32
Total Return:
+51.07%