MS Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+12.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,212.89
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,614.54
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
45.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 45.7
30-Day Momentum
23
+1.8%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.3
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,614.54
Current Value
$14,212.89
Period P&L
$1,598.35
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 /
18
Best Trade
+3.48%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$963,779.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,598.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,598.35
Gross Return
+12.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.67%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,614.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 56 | $12,527.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.81 | 56 | $12,645.36 | $12,656.54 |
+$118.16 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $223.46 | 56 | $12,513.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $221.21 | 56 | $12,388.01 | $12,531.07 |
$-125.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $212.54 | 58 | $12,327.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.79 | 58 | $12,515.82 | $12,719.28 |
+$188.21 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.13 | 60 | $12,547.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.04 | 60 | $12,482.40 | $12,654.18 |
$-65.10 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $213.29 | 59 | $12,584.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.85 | 59 | $12,794.15 | $12,864.22 |
+$210.04 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $220.94 | 58 | $12,814.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.32 | 58 | $12,720.56 | $12,770.26 |
$-93.96 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $223.37 | 57 | $12,732.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.63 | 57 | $12,747.19 | $12,785.36 |
+$15.10 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.04 | 57 | $12,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $219.52 | 57 | $12,512.64 | $12,642.01 |
$-143.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $228.62 | 55 | $12,574.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.25 | 55 | $12,498.75 | $12,566.66 |
$-75.35 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.14 | 56 | $12,551.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $221.83 | 56 | $12,422.48 | $12,437.30 |
$-129.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $210.93 | 58 | $12,233.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.27 | 58 | $12,659.66 | $12,863.02 |
+$425.72 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $216.32 | 59 | $12,762.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.72 | 59 | $12,845.48 | $12,945.92 |
+$82.89 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.39 | 59 | $12,767.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $214.09 | 59 | $12,631.31 | $12,810.22 |
$-135.70 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $215.01 | 59 | $12,685.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.09 | 59 | $12,867.02 | $12,991.35 |
+$181.13 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.66 | 61 | $12,789.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.57 | 61 | $12,906.07 | $13,108.16 |
+$116.81 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $207.60 | 63 | $13,078.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.98 | 63 | $13,354.74 | $13,384.10 |
+$275.94 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.37 | 63 | $13,190.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.65 | 63 | $13,459.64 | $13,653.43 |
+$269.33 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $217.56 | 62 | $13,488.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.43 | 62 | $13,480.66 | $13,645.37 |
$-8.06 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.80 | 64 | $13,619.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.34 | 64 | $13,845.76 | $13,871.93 |
+$226.56 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $214.45 | 64 | $13,725.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.20 | 64 | $13,964.80 | $14,111.66 |
+$239.73 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $219.23 | 64 | $14,030.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.72 | 64 | $13,934.08 | $14,015.02 |
$-96.64 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $218.60 | 64 | $13,990.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.75 | 64 | $13,872.00 | $13,896.94 |
$-118.08 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.64 | 64 | $13,800.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.87 | 64 | $13,687.68 | $13,783.66 |
$-113.28 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $210.49 | 65 | $13,681.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.74 | 65 | $14,023.10 | $14,124.91 |
+$341.25 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $210.49 | 65 | $13,681.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.27 | 65 | $14,057.55 | $14,500.61 |
+$375.70 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $215.04 | 67 | $14,407.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.40 | 67 | $14,431.80 | $14,524.73 |
+$24.12 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.80 | 67 | $14,324.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.63 | 67 | $14,112.21 | $14,312.01 |
$-212.72 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $213.12 | 67 | $14,279.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $210.84 | 67 | $14,126.28 | $14,159.25 |
$-152.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $216.78 | 65 | $14,090.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.58 | 65 | $14,012.63 | $14,081.18 |
$-78.07 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.74 | 64 | $13,871.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.79 | 64 | $13,810.56 | $14,020.48 |
$-60.70 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.61 | 65 | $13,884.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.70 | 65 | $14,020.50 | $14,156.33 |
+$135.85 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.97 | 66 | $13,990.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $209.85 | 66 | $13,850.10 | $14,016.41 |
$-139.92 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $202.48 | 69 | $13,971.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.07 | 69 | $14,287.83 | $14,333.12 |
+$316.71 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $200.77 | 71 | $14,254.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.10 | 71 | $14,349.10 | $14,427.55 |
+$94.43 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $206.09 | 70 | $14,425.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.31 | 70 | $14,371.75 | $14,373.35 |
$-54.20 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.97 | 71 | $14,197.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.71 | 71 | $14,037.41 | $14,212.89 |
$-160.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,212.89
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,212.89
Total Return:
+42.13%