MU Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
-8.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,754.96
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$12,907.64
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
24.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 24.6
30-Day Momentum
10
-0.8%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,907.64
Current Value
$11,754.96
Period P&L
$-1,152.69
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
12 /
27
Best Trade
+10.62%
Worst Trade
-7.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$850,785.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,152.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,152.69
Gross Return
-8.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,907.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,215.65 | 10 | $12,156.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,198.45 | 10 | $11,984.50 | $12,735.64 |
$-172.00 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,139.30 | 11 | $12,532.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,125.39 | 11 | $12,379.29 | $12,582.63 |
$-153.01 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,137.10 | 11 | $12,508.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,068.12 | 11 | $11,749.32 | $11,823.85 |
$-758.78 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,039.48 | 11 | $11,434.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,028.32 | 11 | $11,311.52 | $11,701.09 |
$-122.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $999.16 | 11 | $10,990.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $986.00 | 11 | $10,846.01 | $11,556.40 |
$-144.69 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $928.57 | 12 | $11,142.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $916.82 | 12 | $11,001.78 | $11,415.34 |
$-141.06 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,014.67 | 11 | $11,161.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,000.13 | 11 | $11,001.38 | $11,255.35 |
$-159.99 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $987.80 | 11 | $10,865.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.62 | 11 | $10,082.83 | $10,472.38 |
$-782.97 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $982.84 | 10 | $9,828.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $966.23 | 10 | $9,662.35 | $10,306.38 |
$-166.00 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $878.35 | 11 | $9,661.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $868.91 | 11 | $9,558.01 | $10,202.54 |
$-103.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $807.27 | 12 | $9,687.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $893.01 | 12 | $10,716.06 | $11,231.42 |
+$1,028.88 (+10.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $971.19 | 11 | $10,683.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $951.42 | 11 | $10,465.62 | $11,013.95 |
$-217.47 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $981.00 | 11 | $10,791.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $965.58 | 11 | $10,621.38 | $10,844.33 |
$-169.62 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $908.11 | 11 | $9,989.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $892.26 | 11 | $9,814.86 | $10,669.98 |
$-174.35 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $815.54 | 13 | $10,602.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $802.49 | 13 | $10,432.43 | $10,500.40 |
$-169.58 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $799.48 | 13 | $10,393.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $787.44 | 13 | $10,236.76 | $10,343.92 |
$-156.48 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $866.15 | 11 | $9,527.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.58 | 11 | $10,093.33 | $10,909.55 |
+$565.63 (+5.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $782.70 | 13 | $10,175.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $861.74 | 13 | $11,202.62 | $11,937.13 |
+$1,027.58 (+10.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $883.10 | 13 | $11,480.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $841.43 | 13 | $10,938.59 | $11,395.42 |
$-541.71 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $885.15 | 12 | $10,621.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $873.28 | 12 | $10,479.36 | $11,252.98 |
$-142.44 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $868.06 | 12 | $10,416.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $870.84 | 12 | $10,450.08 | $11,286.34 |
+$33.36 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $925.27 | 12 | $11,103.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $911.95 | 12 | $10,943.40 | $11,126.50 |
$-159.84 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $947.58 | 11 | $10,423.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $977.42 | 11 | $10,751.62 | $11,454.74 |
+$328.24 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1,026.51 | 11 | $11,291.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,015.63 | 11 | $11,171.93 | $11,335.06 |
$-119.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $930.18 | 12 | $11,162.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $951.91 | 12 | $11,422.98 | $11,595.85 |
+$260.79 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $955.64 | 12 | $11,467.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $987.11 | 12 | $11,845.32 | $11,973.55 |
+$377.70 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $912.27 | 13 | $11,859.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $902.50 | 13 | $11,732.50 | $11,846.60 |
$-126.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET | $925.39 | 12 | $11,104.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $925.43 | 12 | $11,105.16 | $11,847.13 |
+$0.53 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $933.44 | 12 | $11,201.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $922.52 | 12 | $11,070.24 | $11,716.09 |
$-131.04 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $934.44 | 12 | $11,213.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $924.25 | 12 | $11,091.00 | $11,593.81 |
$-122.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $937.45 | 12 | $11,249.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $945.49 | 12 | $11,345.94 | $11,690.35 |
+$96.54 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $942.11 | 12 | $11,305.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $927.97 | 12 | $11,135.64 | $11,520.61 |
$-169.74 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $998.12 | 11 | $10,979.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,037.25 | 11 | $11,409.79 | $11,951.08 |
+$430.47 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $999.46 | 11 | $10,994.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $996.58 | 11 | $10,962.38 | $11,919.46 |
$-31.63 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $976.58 | 12 | $11,718.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 12 | $10,916.16 | $11,116.66 |
$-802.80 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $931.57 | 11 | $10,247.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $922.01 | 11 | $10,142.11 | $11,011.56 |
$-105.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $928.35 | 11 | $10,211.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.18 | 11 | $10,506.98 | $11,306.69 |
+$295.13 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $990.90 | 11 | $10,899.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,044.75 | 11 | $11,492.25 | $11,899.04 |
+$592.35 (+5.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,088.68 | 10 | $10,886.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,074.27 | 10 | $10,742.72 | $11,754.96 |
$-144.08 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,754.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,754.96
Total Return:
+17.55%