Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-9.8%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,890.15
Current Value
$7,178.83
Period P&L
$-1,711.31
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
12 / 25
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-8.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$599,073.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,711.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,711.31
Gross Return
-19.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,890.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET $72.82 121 $8,810.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $72.79 121 $8,807.59 $8,856.27 $-3.19
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $71.30 124 $8,841.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $72.79 124 $9,025.96 $9,041.03 +$184.76
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:35am ET $75.44 119 $8,977.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $74.54 119 $8,870.85 $8,934.52 $-106.51
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $72.53 123 $8,920.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $71.65 123 $8,813.56 $8,827.51 $-107.01
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.10 114 $8,789.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $75.97 114 $8,660.58 $8,698.69 $-128.82
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:15am ET $76.93 113 $8,693.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.30 113 $8,621.90 $8,627.50 $-71.19
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $74.32 116 $8,621.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $75.50 116 $8,758.00 $8,764.38 +$136.88
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:10am ET $74.79 117 $8,750.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $74.03 117 $8,660.96 $8,674.91 $-89.47
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $73.68 117 $8,621.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $73.78 117 $8,631.68 $8,685.44 +$10.53
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET $73.11 118 $8,626.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 118 $7,861.75 $7,920.21 $-765.23
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $67.34 117 $7,878.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $67.68 117 $7,919.14 $7,960.58 +$40.37
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $69.97 113 $7,906.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $69.25 113 $7,825.25 $7,879.22 $-81.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $69.03 114 $7,868.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $68.31 114 $7,787.34 $7,797.70 $-81.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $70.07 111 $7,778.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $72.25 111 $8,019.75 $8,039.13 +$241.43
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $72.33 111 $8,028.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $71.71 111 $7,959.81 $7,970.31 $-68.82
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $72.14 110 $7,935.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $71.23 110 $7,835.30 $7,870.21 $-100.10
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $72.82 108 $7,864.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $72.50 108 $7,830.00 $7,835.64 $-34.57
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:35am ET $73.96 105 $7,765.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $75.07 105 $7,882.35 $7,952.19 +$116.55
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $73.25 108 $7,911.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $73.81 108 $7,971.48 $8,012.67 +$60.48
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $75.77 105 $7,955.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $74.98 105 $7,872.90 $7,929.72 $-82.95
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $74.15 106 $7,859.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $76.15 106 $8,071.90 $8,141.71 +$211.99
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET $77.92 104 $8,103.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $77.92 104 $8,103.68 $8,141.71 $0.00
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $78.71 103 $8,106.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $77.87 103 $8,020.61 $8,055.71 $-86.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $80.43 100 $8,042.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $80.14 100 $8,014.00 $8,026.72 $-28.99
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $80.14 100 $8,014.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $79.69 100 $7,969.00 $7,981.72 $-45.00
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $80.14 100 $8,014.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $82.04 100 $8,204.00 $8,171.72 +$190.00
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $81.14 100 $8,114.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $80.24 100 $8,023.50 $8,081.22 $-90.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $81.89 98 $8,025.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $81.00 98 $7,938.00 $7,994.00 $-87.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $80.19 99 $7,938.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.18 99 $8,037.31 $8,092.50 +$98.50
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $81.89 98 $8,025.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $82.52 98 $8,086.96 $8,154.24 +$61.74
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET $79.09 103 $8,146.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $77.47 103 $7,979.41 $7,987.38 $-166.86
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.45 104 $7,950.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $75.27 104 $7,828.08 $7,864.66 $-122.72
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $80.52 97 $7,810.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $79.28 97 $7,690.16 $7,744.38 $-120.28
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $77.72 99 $7,694.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.90 99 $7,613.10 $7,663.20 $-81.18
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.38 101 $7,612.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $71.32 101 $7,203.31 $7,253.63 $-409.57
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.43 98 $7,195.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $72.87 98 $7,141.26 $7,199.24 $-54.39
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $71.76 100 $7,176.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $71.56 100 $7,156.00 $7,178.83 $-20.41
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,178.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,821.17
Total Return: -28.21%
Back to Anchor