NIO Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
-5.65%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,462.76
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,089.60
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
21.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.8
30-Day Momentum
13
-0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,089.60
Current Value
$10,462.76
Period P&L
$-626.83
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
18 /
20
Best Trade
+2.99%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$824,947.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-626.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-626.83
Gross Return
-5.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,089.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $4.76 | 2,332 | $11,088.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.76 | 2,332 | $11,100.32 | $11,101.26 |
+$11.66 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $4.91 | 2,260 | $11,096.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.96 | 2,260 | $11,209.60 | $11,214.26 |
+$113.00 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.97 | 2,256 | $11,212.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.82 | 2,256 | $10,885.20 | $10,887.14 |
$-327.12 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $5.02 | 2,168 | $10,883.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.07 | 2,168 | $10,991.76 | $10,995.32 |
+$108.18 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $4.86 | 2,260 | $10,994.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.80 | 2,260 | $10,859.30 | $10,859.72 |
$-135.60 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $4.80 | 2,262 | $10,857.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.93 | 2,262 | $11,146.46 | $11,148.80 |
+$289.08 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.05 | 2,207 | $11,145.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $4.99 | 2,207 | $11,012.93 | $11,016.38 |
$-132.42 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $5.05 | 2,179 | $11,014.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.09 | 2,179 | $11,091.11 | $11,092.65 |
+$76.27 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.84 | 2,289 | $11,090.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.93 | 2,289 | $11,296.21 | $11,298.66 |
+$206.01 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $4.84 | 2,334 | $11,296.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $4.79 | 2,334 | $11,179.86 | $11,181.96 |
$-116.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $4.66 | 2,396 | $11,177.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.70 | 2,396 | $11,261.20 | $11,265.82 |
+$83.86 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.55 | 2,473 | $11,264.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $4.50 | 2,473 | $11,133.45 | $11,134.75 |
$-131.07 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $4.59 | 2,428 | $11,132.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.70 | 2,428 | $11,411.60 | $11,413.97 |
+$279.22 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $4.80 | 2,375 | $11,411.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $4.75 | 2,375 | $11,281.25 | $11,283.34 |
$-130.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $4.76 | 2,369 | $11,282.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.91 | 2,369 | $11,619.95 | $11,621.16 |
+$337.82 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.84 | 2,401 | $11,620.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.77 | 2,401 | $11,452.77 | $11,453.09 |
$-168.07 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.77 | 2,401 | $11,452.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.74 | 2,401 | $11,380.74 | $11,381.06 |
$-72.03 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.63 | 2,458 | $11,380.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $4.58 | 2,458 | $11,254.20 | $11,254.72 |
$-126.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $4.73 | 2,379 | $11,252.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.78 | 2,379 | $11,369.96 | $11,372.01 |
+$117.29 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.59 | 2,474 | $11,368.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.51 | 2,474 | $11,170.11 | $11,174.09 |
$-197.92 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.56 | 2,450 | $11,171.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.47 | 2,450 | $10,963.75 | $10,966.09 |
$-208.00 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $4.49 | 2,445 | $10,965.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.54 | 2,445 | $11,097.86 | $11,098.12 |
+$132.03 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.53 | 2,449 | $11,093.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $4.48 | 2,449 | $10,971.52 | $10,975.67 |
$-122.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $4.57 | 2,399 | $10,975.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.60 | 2,399 | $11,035.40 | $11,035.65 |
+$59.98 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $4.62 | 2,388 | $11,032.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.51 | 2,388 | $10,757.94 | $10,761.03 |
$-274.62 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $4.62 | 2,388 | $11,032.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.48 | 2,388 | $10,698.48 | $10,426.95 |
$-334.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.36 | 2,388 | $10,423.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.31 | 2,388 | $10,292.04 | $10,295.37 |
$-131.58 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $4.34 | 2,369 | $10,293.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.38 | 2,369 | $10,376.22 | $10,378.29 |
+$82.92 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.05 | 2,565 | $10,375.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.94 | 2,565 | $10,106.61 | $10,109.47 |
$-268.81 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.77 | 2,681 | $10,107.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $3.72 | 2,681 | $9,986.72 | $9,988.83 |
$-120.65 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $3.78 | 2,643 | $9,986.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $3.74 | 2,643 | $9,884.82 | $9,886.81 |
$-102.02 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $3.74 | 2,645 | $9,883.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.75 | 2,645 | $9,918.75 | $9,921.72 |
+$34.91 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.61 | 2,748 | $9,921.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.70 | 2,748 | $10,167.60 | $10,167.67 |
+$245.95 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $3.72 | 2,729 | $10,165.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $3.68 | 2,729 | $10,056.36 | $10,058.51 |
$-109.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $3.57 | 2,821 | $10,056.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.61 | 2,821 | $10,179.01 | $10,180.66 |
+$122.15 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $3.61 | 2,824 | $10,180.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.69 | 2,824 | $10,434.68 | $10,434.82 |
+$254.16 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.63 | 2,878 | $10,432.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.70 | 2,878 | $10,662.99 | $10,665.06 |
+$230.24 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.69 | 2,890 | $10,664.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $3.62 | 2,890 | $10,461.80 | $10,462.76 |
$-202.30 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,462.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$462.76
Total Return:
+4.63%