NVDA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 36 trades in period
+10.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,683.01
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,681.38
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 22.3
30-Day Momentum
13
-1.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,681.38
Current Value
$10,683.01
Period P&L
$1,001.63
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 /
18
Best Trade
+7.38%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$738,415.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,001.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,001.63
Gross Return
+10.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,681.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $196.33 | 49 | $9,620.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.34 | 49 | $9,522.42 | $9,583.63 |
$-97.75 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $192.68 | 49 | $9,441.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.52 | 49 | $9,531.72 | $9,674.04 |
+$90.41 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $197.85 | 48 | $9,496.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.65 | 48 | $9,295.20 | $9,472.43 |
$-201.60 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.78 | 47 | $9,295.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $195.50 | 47 | $9,188.50 | $9,365.27 |
$-107.16 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $196.02 | 47 | $9,213.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.15 | 47 | $9,031.05 | $9,183.15 |
$-182.13 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.68 | 46 | $9,001.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.26 | 46 | $9,395.96 | $9,577.83 |
+$394.68 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.04 | 47 | $9,495.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.90 | 47 | $9,865.30 | $9,947.25 |
+$369.42 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $211.27 | 47 | $9,929.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.36 | 47 | $10,027.92 | $10,045.25 |
+$98.00 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.40 | 47 | $9,841.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $206.51 | 47 | $9,705.97 | $9,909.42 |
$-135.83 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $204.41 | 48 | $9,811.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $202.27 | 48 | $9,708.96 | $9,806.70 |
$-102.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $202.49 | 48 | $9,719.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.46 | 48 | $9,910.20 | $9,997.37 |
+$190.68 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $213.32 | 46 | $9,812.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.10 | 46 | $9,618.37 | $9,803.02 |
$-194.35 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $206.04 | 47 | $9,683.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.73 | 47 | $9,669.31 | $9,788.45 |
$-14.57 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.24 | 50 | $9,711.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.79 | 50 | $9,839.50 | $9,916.00 |
+$127.54 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $193.84 | 51 | $9,885.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.18 | 51 | $10,107.18 | $10,137.59 |
+$221.59 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.38 | 51 | $10,066.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.95 | 51 | $10,809.45 | $10,880.66 |
+$743.07 (+7.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $219.02 | 49 | $10,731.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.50 | 49 | $10,853.50 | $11,002.18 |
+$121.52 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $223.24 | 49 | $10,938.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.64 | 49 | $10,958.36 | $11,021.78 |
+$19.60 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $219.18 | 50 | $10,959.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $216.86 | 50 | $10,843.00 | $10,905.78 |
$-116.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $223.65 | 48 | $10,734.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.20 | 48 | $10,809.60 | $10,980.42 |
+$74.64 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $225.51 | 48 | $10,824.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.46 | 48 | $10,822.08 | $10,977.96 |
$-2.46 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.55 | 49 | $10,807.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.82 | 49 | $10,869.18 | $11,039.95 |
+$61.99 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.27 | 50 | $10,913.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $215.90 | 50 | $10,795.25 | $10,921.70 |
$-118.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $215.31 | 50 | $10,765.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.19 | 50 | $10,659.50 | $10,815.57 |
$-106.13 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $215.31 | 50 | $10,765.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.50 | 50 | $10,625.00 | $10,674.94 |
$-140.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $228.62 | 46 | $10,516.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $226.20 | 46 | $10,405.20 | $10,563.62 |
$-111.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $218.39 | 48 | $10,482.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.17 | 48 | $10,424.16 | $10,505.06 |
$-58.56 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.66 | 48 | $10,351.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.87 | 48 | $10,553.52 | $10,706.90 |
+$201.84 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $218.39 | 48 | $10,482.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $227.41 | 48 | $10,915.68 | $11,139.86 |
+$432.96 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $231.73 | 48 | $11,122.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.23 | 48 | $11,194.80 | $11,211.86 |
+$72.00 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.79 | 49 | $11,014.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.55 | 49 | $10,806.95 | $11,004.07 |
$-207.79 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $219.42 | 50 | $10,971.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.20 | 50 | $10,560.00 | $10,593.07 |
$-411.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $212.30 | 49 | $10,402.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.01 | 49 | $10,486.49 | $10,676.86 |
+$83.79 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $218.90 | 48 | $10,507.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.18 | 48 | $10,520.88 | $10,690.30 |
+$13.44 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $227.15 | 47 | $10,676.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.45 | 47 | $10,784.15 | $10,798.40 |
+$108.10 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.86 | 47 | $10,709.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $225.40 | 47 | $10,594.03 | $10,683.01 |
$-115.39 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,683.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$683.01
Total Return:
+6.83%