PANW Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 36 trades in period
+24.63%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,844.63
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$14,318.44
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
58
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.4/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
58.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 57.9
30-Day Momentum
14
+0.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,318.44
Current Value
$17,844.63
Period P&L
$3,526.17
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
15 /
21
Best Trade
+6.74%
Worst Trade
-2.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
15.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,188,545.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,526.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,526.17
Gross Return
+24.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.63%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $14,318.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $291.95 | 49 | $14,305.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.43 | 49 | $14,280.31 | $14,293.45 |
$-24.99 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $353.93 | 40 | $14,157.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.07 | 40 | $13,962.60 | $14,098.65 |
$-194.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.99 | 41 | $13,857.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $360.76 | 41 | $14,791.16 | $15,032.22 |
+$933.57 (+6.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.89 | 45 | $15,025.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $327.58 | 45 | $14,740.88 | $14,748.04 |
$-284.18 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $335.14 | 44 | $14,745.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.11 | 44 | $14,876.84 | $14,878.94 |
+$130.90 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $318.33 | 46 | $14,643.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.54 | 46 | $15,434.84 | $15,670.37 |
+$791.43 (+5.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $353.90 | 44 | $15,571.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $354.14 | 44 | $15,582.16 | $15,680.93 |
+$10.56 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $361.07 | 43 | $15,526.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:30pm ET | $357.40 | 43 | $15,368.41 | $15,523.34 |
$-157.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $358.98 | 43 | $15,435.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $355.09 | 43 | $15,268.87 | $15,356.28 |
$-167.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.05 | 45 | $15,212.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $331.29 | 45 | $14,908.05 | $15,052.31 |
$-303.98 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $327.14 | 46 | $15,048.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $323.70 | 46 | $14,890.20 | $14,893.84 |
$-158.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $325.05 | 45 | $14,627.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.01 | 45 | $14,625.45 | $14,892.04 |
$-1.80 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.00 | 47 | $14,617.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.23 | 47 | $15,097.58 | $15,372.49 |
+$480.45 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $313.90 | 48 | $15,067.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.31 | 48 | $15,950.88 | $16,255.93 |
+$883.44 (+5.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $359.46 | 45 | $16,175.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.78 | 45 | $16,820.10 | $16,900.11 |
+$644.18 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.36 | 47 | $16,560.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.02 | 47 | $17,155.71 | $17,494.90 |
+$594.79 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $381.92 | 45 | $17,186.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.00 | 45 | $17,325.00 | $17,633.72 |
+$138.82 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.01 | 46 | $17,480.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.56 | 46 | $18,103.76 | $18,257.02 |
+$623.30 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $391.78 | 46 | $18,021.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $386.60 | 46 | $17,783.60 | $18,018.74 |
$-238.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $377.30 | 47 | $17,733.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $373.12 | 47 | $17,536.64 | $17,822.28 |
$-196.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $373.42 | 47 | $17,550.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.29 | 47 | $17,544.40 | $17,815.93 |
$-6.35 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.79 | 50 | $17,639.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $349.09 | 50 | $17,454.50 | $17,630.93 |
$-185.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.43 | 49 | $17,416.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $351.51 | 49 | $17,223.99 | $17,438.85 |
$-192.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $349.16 | 49 | $17,108.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $345.56 | 49 | $16,932.44 | $17,262.45 |
$-176.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $338.31 | 51 | $17,253.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $358.56 | 51 | $18,286.56 | $18,295.20 |
+$1,032.75 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.93 | 48 | $18,092.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $367.51 | 48 | $17,640.48 | $17,843.04 |
$-452.16 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET | $374.58 | 47 | $17,605.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.05 | 47 | $17,392.12 | $17,629.90 |
$-213.14 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.69 | 52 | $17,403.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $331.00 | 52 | $17,212.00 | $17,438.02 |
$-191.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $323.71 | 53 | $17,156.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.02 | 53 | $17,385.06 | $17,666.55 |
+$228.53 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.67 | 53 | $17,419.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.90 | 53 | $17,908.96 | $18,155.74 |
+$489.19 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.63 | 54 | $17,853.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.45 | 54 | $18,276.57 | $18,578.56 |
+$422.82 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $375.31 | 49 | $18,390.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.28 | 49 | $18,045.72 | $18,234.09 |
$-344.47 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.97 | 49 | $18,128.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.11 | 49 | $17,890.63 | $17,996.19 |
$-237.90 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.55 | 48 | $17,690.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $362.45 | 48 | $17,397.60 | $17,703.32 |
$-292.87 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $371.28 | 47 | $17,450.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.19 | 47 | $17,305.05 | $17,558.21 |
$-145.11 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:20pm ET | $385.56 | 45 | $17,350.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $391.92 | 45 | $17,636.62 | $17,844.63 |
+$286.42 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,844.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,844.63
Total Return:
+78.45%