Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 29.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.6

30-Day Momentum

12
-2.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,090.16
Current Value
$10,838.85
Period P&L
$-251.30
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
17 / 16
Best Trade
+2.04%
Worst Trade
-1.75%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$708,085.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-251.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-251.30
Gross Return
-2.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,090.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $711.42 15 $10,671.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $725.96 15 $10,889.40 $11,125.63 +$218.10
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $704.03 15 $10,560.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $716.79 15 $10,751.85 $11,317.03 +$191.40
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $735.76 15 $11,036.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $726.23 15 $10,893.45 $11,174.08 $-142.95
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $725.08 15 $10,876.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $716.80 15 $10,752.07 $11,049.95 $-124.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $723.88 15 $10,858.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $713.74 15 $10,706.10 $10,897.85 $-152.10
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $705.84 15 $10,587.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $718.14 15 $10,772.14 $11,082.31 +$184.46
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $720.57 15 $10,808.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $716.23 15 $10,743.45 $11,017.21 $-65.10
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $718.44 15 $10,776.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $723.76 15 $10,856.40 $11,097.01 +$79.80
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $711.22 15 $10,668.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $703.59 15 $10,553.85 $10,982.63 $-114.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $695.30 15 $10,429.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $704.35 15 $10,565.32 $11,118.46 +$135.82
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $709.16 15 $10,637.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $705.08 15 $10,576.13 $11,057.19 $-61.27
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $695.75 15 $10,436.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $688.63 15 $10,329.45 $10,950.39 $-106.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $688.99 15 $10,334.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $690.40 15 $10,356.00 $10,971.53 +$21.15
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $674.47 16 $10,791.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $676.56 16 $10,824.96 $11,004.97 +$33.44
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:15am ET $678.23 16 $10,851.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $691.60 16 $11,065.68 $11,218.97 +$214.00
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $699.63 16 $11,194.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $708.28 16 $11,332.48 $11,357.37 +$138.40
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET $724.29 15 $10,864.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $711.64 15 $10,674.60 $11,167.62 $-189.75
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $719.60 15 $10,794.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $722.84 15 $10,842.67 $11,216.29 +$48.67
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $720.52 15 $10,807.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $726.86 15 $10,902.88 $11,311.45 +$95.16
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:35am ET $731.14 15 $10,967.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $733.12 15 $10,996.80 $11,341.15 +$29.70
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $732.72 15 $10,990.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $719.90 15 $10,798.50 $11,148.85 $-192.30
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $715.05 15 $10,725.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $712.55 15 $10,688.25 $11,111.27 $-37.58
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $709.92 15 $10,648.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $706.65 15 $10,599.75 $11,062.15 $-49.12
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $709.92 15 $10,648.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $708.63 15 $10,629.45 $11,042.73 $-19.42
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $716.96 15 $10,754.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $719.26 15 $10,788.90 $11,077.23 +$34.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $715.80 15 $10,737.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $706.99 15 $10,604.85 $10,945.08 $-132.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $705.87 15 $10,588.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $710.97 15 $10,664.55 $11,021.58 +$76.50
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $717.74 15 $10,766.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $720.84 15 $10,812.58 $11,068.06 +$46.48
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $716.26 15 $10,743.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $707.65 15 $10,614.75 $10,938.91 $-129.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $715.10 15 $10,726.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $703.57 15 $10,553.48 $10,765.89 $-173.02
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $708.65 15 $10,629.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $708.20 15 $10,623.00 $10,759.14 $-6.75
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $716.39 15 $10,745.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $719.08 15 $10,786.20 $10,799.51 +$40.37
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $744.24 14 $10,419.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $747.05 14 $10,458.70 $10,838.85 +$39.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,838.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$838.85
Total Return: +8.39%
Back to Anchor