Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.7/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 46.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.6

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,958.08
Current Value
$16,079.71
Period P&L
$3,121.62
Max Drawdown
-14.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
16 / 24
Best Trade
+14.61%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.59%
Avg Hold Time
20.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,261,837.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,121.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,121.62
Gross Return
+24.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,958.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $45.59 284 $12,947.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.25 284 $14,839.00 $14,849.52 +$1,891.44
(+14.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $54.33 273 $14,832.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $55.44 273 $15,133.76 $15,151.18 +$301.66
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.26 274 $15,139.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $54.69 274 $14,985.06 $14,996.37 $-154.81
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.54 260 $14,961.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $56.91 260 $14,796.60 $14,831.27 $-165.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $56.55 262 $14,816.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.51 262 $14,543.62 $14,558.79 $-272.48
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $54.40 267 $14,524.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $57.40 267 $15,324.47 $15,358.45 +$799.66
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $56.69 270 $15,306.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $55.96 270 $15,107.85 $15,160.00 $-198.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $54.25 279 $15,135.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $55.70 279 $15,540.30 $15,564.55 +$404.55
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $56.02 277 $15,517.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET $54.88 277 $15,201.76 $15,248.77 $-315.78
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $51.34 297 $15,247.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.57 297 $15,613.29 $15,614.08 +$365.31
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET $53.56 291 $15,585.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:10am ET $52.95 291 $15,408.45 $15,436.57 $-177.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET $50.61 305 $15,436.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $50.08 305 $15,275.92 $15,276.45 $-160.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $47.51 321 $15,252.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 321 $15,504.30 $15,528.43 +$251.98
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $47.53 326 $15,493.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $46.65 326 $15,207.90 $15,243.18 $-285.25
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $47.70 319 $15,216.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $49.67 319 $15,843.14 $15,870.02 +$626.84
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:05am ET $49.88 318 $15,860.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET $48.21 318 $15,330.78 $15,340.55 $-529.47
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $34.30 447 $15,332.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $33.93 447 $15,166.71 $15,175.16 $-165.39
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $37.65 403 $15,172.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $37.25 403 $15,011.75 $15,013.96 $-161.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $37.38 401 $14,989.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $37.51 401 $15,039.51 $15,064.09 +$50.13
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $35.66 422 $15,048.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $36.51 422 $15,407.22 $15,422.79 +$358.70
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $38.36 402 $15,420.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $37.92 402 $15,243.84 $15,245.91 $-176.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $36.58 416 $15,217.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $36.39 416 $15,138.24 $15,166.87 $-79.04
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $36.06 420 $15,145.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $38.58 420 $16,201.50 $16,223.17 +$1,056.30
(+7.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.08 426 $16,219.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET $37.61 426 $16,021.86 $16,025.08 $-198.09
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET $37.88 423 $16,023.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 423 $16,084.58 $16,086.42 +$61.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $38.58 417 $16,085.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $38.12 417 $15,896.04 $15,896.68 $-189.74
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $38.43 413 $15,871.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $39.88 413 $16,470.44 $16,495.53 +$598.85
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $38.43 413 $15,871.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.04 413 $16,123.52 $16,747.46 +$251.93
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $37.77 443 $16,732.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $38.86 443 $17,214.98 $17,230.33 +$482.87
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $40.38 426 $17,201.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $39.97 426 $17,029.35 $17,057.80 $-172.53
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $40.35 422 $17,029.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET $39.67 422 $16,738.63 $16,766.62 $-291.18
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $41.81 401 $16,763.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $41.48 401 $16,633.48 $16,636.29 $-130.33
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $45.32 367 $16,632.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $44.80 367 $16,441.60 $16,445.45 $-190.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.61 368 $16,416.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $45.11 368 $16,600.48 $16,629.45 +$184.00
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $45.85 362 $16,595.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $47.15 362 $17,068.23 $17,101.79 +$472.34
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $50.44 339 $17,099.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.06 339 $16,968.65 $16,971.14 $-130.65
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $47.08 360 $16,950.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.86 360 $16,869.60 $16,890.50 $-80.64
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $50.87 332 $16,887.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $50.61 332 $16,802.52 $16,805.84 $-84.66
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.78 337 $16,774.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $49.20 337 $16,580.40 $16,612.06 $-193.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:00am ET $49.12 338 $16,602.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.54 338 $16,070.21 $16,079.71 $-532.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,079.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,079.71
Total Return: +60.80%
Back to Anchor