RIOT Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 44 trades in period
-2.92%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,484.09
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$16,979.24
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
38.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 38.5
30-Day Momentum
10
-5.1%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,979.24
Current Value
$16,484.09
Period P&L
$-495.15
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
11 /
33
Best Trade
+9.26%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,462,847.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-495.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-495.15
Gross Return
-2.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $16,979.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.00 | 593 | $16,011.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.43 | 593 | $16,858.99 | $16,884.95 |
+$847.99 (+5.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.67 | 633 | $16,878.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.30 | 633 | $16,647.90 | $16,653.90 |
$-231.05 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $27.90 | 597 | $16,653.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.40 | 597 | $16,954.80 | $16,955.38 |
+$301.48 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.35 | 643 | $16,943.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.56 | 643 | $16,435.08 | $16,447.41 |
$-507.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.64 | 695 | $16,429.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.32 | 695 | $16,207.33 | $16,224.95 |
$-222.47 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $23.65 | 686 | $16,223.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.29 | 686 | $15,976.94 | $15,977.99 |
$-246.96 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $21.93 | 728 | $15,965.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $21.60 | 728 | $15,724.80 | $15,737.75 |
$-240.24 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $22.07 | 713 | $15,735.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $21.83 | 713 | $15,563.22 | $15,565.06 |
$-172.69 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $21.19 | 734 | $15,553.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $20.97 | 734 | $15,390.15 | $15,401.75 |
$-163.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $19.82 | 777 | $15,400.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.36 | 777 | $15,819.72 | $15,821.33 |
+$419.58 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.51 | 810 | $15,803.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.30 | 810 | $15,631.95 | $15,650.17 |
$-171.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.44 | 897 | $15,648.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.06 | 897 | $17,096.82 | $17,098.83 |
+$1,448.65 (+9.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $21.38 | 799 | $17,078.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $21.14 | 799 | $16,886.87 | $16,907.07 |
$-191.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $24.08 | 702 | $16,904.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $23.83 | 702 | $16,728.66 | $16,731.57 |
$-175.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:00pm ET | $22.55 | 741 | $16,709.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.43 | 741 | $16,620.63 | $16,642.65 |
$-88.92 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.61 | 807 | $16,632.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.26 | 807 | $16,349.82 | $16,360.20 |
$-282.45 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.63 | 793 | $16,359.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.33 | 793 | $16,117.73 | $16,118.25 |
$-241.94 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $22.35 | 721 | $16,114.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $22.06 | 721 | $15,901.66 | $15,905.55 |
$-212.70 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $20.25 | 785 | $15,896.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.63 | 785 | $15,409.55 | $15,418.85 |
$-486.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.22 | 726 | $15,405.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.40 | 726 | $16,262.40 | $16,275.53 |
+$856.68 (+5.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.01 | 774 | $16,261.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.10 | 774 | $17,105.40 | $17,119.19 |
+$843.66 (+5.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.44 | 837 | $17,108.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.02 | 837 | $16,756.74 | $16,767.65 |
$-351.54 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $20.17 | 831 | $16,757.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $19.92 | 831 | $16,553.52 | $16,564.05 |
$-203.60 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $20.80 | 796 | $16,556.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $20.59 | 796 | $16,389.64 | $16,396.81 |
$-167.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $19.17 | 855 | $16,394.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.91 | 855 | $16,168.90 | $16,171.09 |
$-225.72 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.91 | 855 | $16,168.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.50 | 855 | $16,672.50 | $16,675.54 |
+$504.45 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.74 | 889 | $16,659.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.29 | 889 | $16,258.21 | $16,273.89 |
$-401.65 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $20.11 | 809 | $16,268.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.94 | 809 | $17,749.54 | $17,754.44 |
+$1,480.55 (+9.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $20.37 | 871 | $17,742.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $20.15 | 871 | $17,546.64 | $17,558.81 |
$-195.63 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $21.17 | 829 | $17,549.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.83 | 829 | $17,268.07 | $17,276.95 |
$-281.86 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $21.16 | 816 | $17,266.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $20.91 | 816 | $17,062.56 | $17,072.95 |
$-204.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $19.22 | 888 | $17,067.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $19.01 | 888 | $16,885.32 | $16,890.91 |
$-182.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $18.58 | 908 | $16,875.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.29 | 908 | $16,607.32 | $16,623.05 |
$-267.86 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.56 | 946 | $16,607.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.80 | 946 | $17,784.80 | $17,800.82 |
+$1,177.77 (+7.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $21.48 | 828 | $17,785.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.85 | 828 | $18,091.80 | $18,107.18 |
+$306.36 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $22.19 | 815 | $18,088.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $21.88 | 815 | $17,828.13 | $17,846.38 |
$-260.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $21.28 | 838 | $17,832.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $21.06 | 838 | $17,648.28 | $17,662.02 |
$-184.36 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $21.34 | 827 | $17,648.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.27 | 827 | $16,763.29 | $16,777.13 |
$-884.89 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.55 | 816 | $16,768.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $20.28 | 816 | $16,552.56 | $16,560.89 |
$-216.24 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $20.53 | 806 | $16,547.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $20.26 | 806 | $16,329.56 | $16,343.27 |
$-217.62 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $21.67 | 754 | $16,340.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.62 | 754 | $17,055.48 | $17,058.29 |
+$715.02 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $24.59 | 693 | $17,044.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $24.34 | 693 | $16,871.08 | $16,885.04 |
$-173.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $24.76 | 681 | $16,864.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.43 | 681 | $16,637.51 | $16,657.59 |
$-227.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.99 | 694 | $16,649.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:55pm ET | $23.74 | 694 | $16,475.56 | $16,484.09 |
$-173.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,484.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,484.09
Total Return:
+64.84%