Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 52.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 52.6

30-Day Momentum

11
-1.4%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-42 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,030.79
Current Value
$15,201.45
Period P&L
$1,170.67
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 / 17
Best Trade
+4.52%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$998,681.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,170.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,170.67
Gross Return
+8.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $14,030.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $52.70 266 $14,018.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $52.63 266 $13,999.58 $14,012.17 $-18.62
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.87 265 $14,010.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $52.26 265 $13,848.90 $13,850.52 $-161.65
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET $53.93 256 $13,806.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 256 $13,681.92 $13,725.67 $-124.85
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $55.15 248 $13,678.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.80 248 $13,838.40 $13,885.63 +$159.96
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.27 251 $13,872.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $54.69 251 $13,727.22 $13,740.08 $-145.55
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:55am ET $51.82 265 $13,732.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $54.03 265 $14,317.95 $14,325.73 +$585.65
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $53.75 266 $14,297.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.80 266 $14,044.80 $14,073.03 $-252.70
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $53.28 264 $14,065.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $52.85 264 $13,952.40 $13,959.51 $-113.52
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.60 275 $13,913.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $50.06 275 $13,766.58 $13,812.47 $-147.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.60 272 $13,763.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.37 272 $13,972.64 $14,021.91 +$209.44
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET $53.24 263 $14,000.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $54.04 263 $14,213.83 $14,234.94 +$213.03
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $52.31 272 $14,228.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.38 272 $14,247.36 $14,253.98 +$19.04
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $52.85 269 $14,216.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $51.58 269 $13,873.68 $13,911.00 $-342.97
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $51.63 269 $13,888.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $52.27 269 $14,060.63 $14,083.16 +$172.16
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 270 $14,031.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.23 270 $13,832.10 $13,883.36 $-199.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:20am ET $53.69 258 $13,853.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $56.12 258 $14,479.81 $14,509.86 +$626.50
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.49 261 $14,482.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $57.98 261 $15,132.78 $15,160.27 +$650.41
(+4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $58.72 258 $15,148.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $59.53 258 $15,358.69 $15,370.49 +$210.22
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.84 261 $15,357.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET $58.24 261 $15,200.64 $15,213.89 $-156.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET $58.90 258 $15,197.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $59.01 258 $15,223.29 $15,239.69 +$25.80
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.45 260 $15,197.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET $57.78 260 $15,022.80 $15,065.49 $-174.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $59.40 253 $15,029.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $60.38 253 $15,276.14 $15,312.17 +$246.68
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $62.45 245 $15,300.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $62.87 245 $15,403.15 $15,415.07 +$102.90
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $62.45 245 $15,300.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $61.67 245 $15,109.15 $15,223.97 $-191.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $61.38 248 $15,221.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $63.93 248 $15,855.56 $15,858.53 +$634.56
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $59.89 264 $15,810.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $58.55 264 $15,457.20 $15,504.77 $-353.76
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:05am ET $58.83 263 $15,472.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $59.90 263 $15,753.70 $15,786.18 +$281.41
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $59.16 266 $15,736.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $59.87 266 $15,925.42 $15,975.04 +$188.86
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $60.92 262 $15,961.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $58.36 262 $15,290.32 $15,304.32 $-670.72
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $58.21 262 $15,251.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.83 262 $14,888.15 $14,941.45 $-362.87
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:40am ET $57.05 261 $14,890.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $58.38 261 $15,237.18 $15,288.58 +$347.13
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $59.28 257 $15,233.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $60.07 257 $15,437.99 $15,492.89 +$204.31
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $59.90 258 $15,454.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.37 258 $15,317.46 $15,356.15 $-136.74
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.97 260 $15,333.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $58.38 260 $15,178.80 $15,201.45 $-154.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,201.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,201.45
Total Return: +52.01%
Back to Anchor