SMCI Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 43 trades in period
-12.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,832.32
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$5,493.08
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
10.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-10.7%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,493.08
Current Value
$4,832.32
Period P&L
$-660.78
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
9 /
34
Best Trade
+17.62%
Worst Trade
-5.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$461,404.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-660.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-660.78
Gross Return
-12.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $5,493.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $33.04 | 166 | $5,485.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $32.62 | 166 | $5,414.92 | $5,422.53 |
$-70.55 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $31.59 | 171 | $5,401.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.01 | 171 | $5,303.56 | $5,324.20 |
$-98.33 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $30.42 | 175 | $5,323.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $30.08 | 175 | $5,264.00 | $5,264.88 |
$-59.33 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $29.54 | 178 | $5,258.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.88 | 178 | $4,961.75 | $4,968.51 |
$-296.37 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.95 | 177 | $4,948.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.64 | 177 | $4,892.30 | $4,912.77 |
$-55.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $27.13 | 181 | $4,909.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $26.78 | 181 | $4,848.08 | $4,851.23 |
$-61.54 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $26.38 | 183 | $4,826.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.10 | 183 | $4,777.21 | $4,801.82 |
$-49.41 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:10pm ET | $28.70 | 167 | $4,793.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.40 | 167 | $4,742.80 | $4,751.55 |
$-50.27 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $28.57 | 166 | $4,741.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.97 | 166 | $4,643.02 | $4,652.78 |
$-98.77 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.42 | 169 | $4,633.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.21 | 169 | $4,767.49 | $4,787.13 |
+$134.35 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 181 | $4,765.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.04 | 181 | $4,713.15 | $4,734.55 |
$-52.58 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.57 | 200 | $4,714.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.31 | 200 | $4,862.00 | $4,882.55 |
+$148.00 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.23 | 193 | $4,869.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.67 | 193 | $5,727.27 | $5,740.44 |
+$857.88 (+17.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $31.07 | 184 | $5,716.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $30.75 | 184 | $5,658.92 | $5,682.48 |
$-57.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $30.48 | 186 | $5,669.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.17 | 186 | $5,611.71 | $5,624.91 |
$-57.57 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.86 | 201 | $5,599.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.58 | 201 | $5,542.58 | $5,567.63 |
$-57.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.69 | 201 | $5,565.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.28 | 201 | $5,483.28 | $5,485.22 |
$-82.41 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $27.72 | 197 | $5,460.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.51 | 197 | $5,616.47 | $5,640.85 |
+$155.63 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.10 | 200 | $5,620.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.61 | 200 | $5,922.00 | $5,942.85 |
+$302.00 (+5.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $31.27 | 190 | $5,941.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $30.89 | 190 | $5,868.15 | $5,869.70 |
$-73.15 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $30.40 | 193 | $5,866.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $30.03 | 193 | $5,795.81 | $5,799.27 |
$-70.43 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $30.94 | 187 | $5,785.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.95 | 187 | $5,974.65 | $5,988.14 |
+$188.87 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $31.53 | 189 | $5,959.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $31.21 | 189 | $5,898.69 | $5,927.13 |
$-61.01 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $37.58 | 157 | $5,899.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.35 | 157 | $6,020.95 | $6,048.71 |
+$121.58 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.33 | 153 | $6,017.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $38.92 | 153 | $5,954.00 | $5,985.21 |
$-63.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $38.17 | 156 | $5,954.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.27 | 156 | $5,814.12 | $5,844.81 |
$-140.40 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.19 | 157 | $5,838.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.64 | 157 | $5,752.48 | $5,759.24 |
$-85.57 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $36.31 | 158 | $5,736.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $35.92 | 158 | $5,674.57 | $5,696.83 |
$-62.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $36.83 | 154 | $5,671.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.94 | 154 | $5,534.76 | $5,560.54 |
$-136.29 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $36.83 | 154 | $5,671.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 154 | $5,856.62 | $5,746.11 |
+$185.57 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $38.01 | 151 | $5,739.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $37.60 | 151 | $5,677.58 | $5,684.19 |
$-61.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $37.58 | 151 | $5,674.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $37.09 | 151 | $5,600.59 | $5,610.20 |
$-73.99 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET | $37.25 | 150 | $5,586.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.13 | 150 | $5,419.50 | $5,442.80 |
$-167.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.25 | 150 | $5,437.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $35.81 | 150 | $5,371.50 | $5,376.86 |
$-65.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:30pm ET | $40.15 | 133 | $5,339.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $39.46 | 133 | $5,247.52 | $5,285.09 |
$-91.77 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $40.49 | 130 | $5,263.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.84 | 130 | $5,179.20 | $5,200.59 |
$-84.50 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.83 | 137 | $5,182.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.77 | 137 | $5,174.49 | $5,192.37 |
$-8.22 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.62 | 138 | $5,191.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.06 | 138 | $5,114.27 | $5,115.08 |
$-77.29 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $36.94 | 138 | $5,097.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $36.46 | 138 | $5,031.48 | $5,048.85 |
$-66.23 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $36.65 | 137 | $5,020.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $36.10 | 137 | $4,945.70 | $4,974.18 |
$-74.67 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $40.42 | 123 | $4,971.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.25 | 123 | $4,950.75 | $4,953.25 |
$-20.93 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $40.92 | 121 | $4,951.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.01 | 121 | $4,962.81 | $4,965.00 |
+$11.75 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $41.44 | 119 | $4,931.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.33 | 119 | $4,799.27 | $4,832.32 |
$-132.68 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,832.32
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,167.68
Total Return:
-51.68%