SPXU Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+5.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,725.00
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$7,339.00
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
10.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.3
30-Day Momentum
10
-1.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,339.00
Current Value
$7,725.00
Period P&L
$386.01
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
16 /
21
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
23.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$576,871.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$386.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$386.01
Gross Return
+5.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.26%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,339.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.61 | 190 | $7,335.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 190 | $7,601.90 | $7,605.07 |
+$266.08 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.30 | 198 | $7,583.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $37.91 | 198 | $7,506.18 | $7,527.85 |
$-77.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $36.92 | 203 | $7,494.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.66 | 203 | $7,644.98 | $7,678.07 |
+$150.22 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.86 | 208 | $7,666.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.94 | 208 | $7,682.48 | $7,693.67 |
+$15.60 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $37.11 | 207 | $7,681.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.69 | 207 | $7,800.80 | $7,812.70 |
+$119.03 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.17 | 210 | $7,805.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $36.77 | 210 | $7,721.68 | $7,728.68 |
$-84.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $36.26 | 213 | $7,722.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.23 | 213 | $7,716.99 | $7,723.35 |
$-5.33 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.54 | 211 | $7,709.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.99 | 211 | $7,592.84 | $7,606.25 |
$-117.11 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $36.12 | 210 | $7,585.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.09 | 210 | $7,998.90 | $8,019.95 |
+$413.70 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.09 | 216 | $8,011.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.45 | 216 | $8,089.20 | $8,097.71 |
+$77.76 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $36.97 | 219 | $8,096.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.10 | 219 | $8,343.90 | $8,345.16 |
+$247.45 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.45 | 217 | $8,343.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $38.03 | 217 | $8,252.51 | $8,254.02 |
$-91.14 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $38.71 | 213 | $8,245.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.65 | 213 | $8,231.39 | $8,240.19 |
$-13.82 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $39.19 | 210 | $8,229.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $38.67 | 210 | $8,120.70 | $8,130.99 |
$-109.20 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $38.28 | 212 | $8,116.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.58 | 212 | $7,966.96 | $7,981.53 |
$-149.46 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.81 | 216 | $7,950.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $36.40 | 216 | $7,862.40 | $7,892.97 |
$-88.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $34.90 | 226 | $7,887.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $34.54 | 226 | $7,806.04 | $7,811.68 |
$-81.29 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $33.69 | 231 | $7,783.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.90 | 231 | $7,832.05 | $7,860.19 |
+$48.51 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.90 | 231 | $7,829.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $33.51 | 231 | $7,741.96 | $7,772.41 |
$-87.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $33.59 | 231 | $7,759.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.49 | 231 | $7,736.19 | $7,749.31 |
$-23.10 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.46 | 231 | $7,729.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.49 | 231 | $7,736.17 | $7,756.22 |
+$6.91 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $32.97 | 235 | $7,746.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.23 | 235 | $7,809.05 | $7,818.49 |
+$62.27 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $34.26 | 228 | $7,812.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.03 | 228 | $7,758.84 | $7,764.91 |
$-53.58 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $34.42 | 225 | $7,744.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.72 | 225 | $7,812.00 | $7,832.41 |
+$67.50 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $34.99 | 223 | $7,802.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.60 | 223 | $7,715.78 | $7,745.42 |
$-86.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $34.65 | 223 | $7,726.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.41 | 223 | $7,673.43 | $7,691.90 |
$-53.52 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.96 | 226 | $7,673.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $33.60 | 226 | $7,594.73 | $7,612.80 |
$-79.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET | $34.74 | 219 | $7,608.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.32 | 219 | $7,735.08 | $7,739.82 |
+$127.02 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.28 | 219 | $7,725.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $34.89 | 219 | $7,640.91 | $7,655.50 |
$-84.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $34.18 | 223 | $7,622.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $33.83 | 223 | $7,542.98 | $7,576.34 |
$-79.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $34.19 | 221 | $7,557.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.38 | 221 | $7,597.98 | $7,617.23 |
+$40.89 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $35.31 | 215 | $7,592.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.92 | 215 | $7,722.78 | $7,747.63 |
+$130.40 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.06 | 220 | $7,713.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.84 | 220 | $7,884.80 | $7,919.23 |
+$171.60 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $36.06 | 219 | $7,896.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.79 | 219 | $7,838.01 | $7,861.20 |
$-58.03 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.28 | 222 | $7,833.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.30 | 222 | $7,836.60 | $7,864.53 |
+$3.33 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.58 | 227 | $7,850.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $34.24 | 227 | $7,771.35 | $7,785.08 |
$-79.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $33.63 | 231 | $7,768.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.37 | 231 | $7,708.45 | $7,725.00 |
$-60.08 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,725.00
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,275.00
Total Return:
-22.75%