SPY Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 33 trades in period
-2.53%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,101.24
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,363.08
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
4.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
20.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 20.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,363.08
Current Value
$10,101.24
Period P&L
$-261.82
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
18 /
15
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$655,692.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-261.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-261.82
Gross Return
-2.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,363.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $733.34 | 14 | $10,266.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $734.57 | 14 | $10,283.98 | $10,331.30 |
+$17.22 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $729.84 | 14 | $10,217.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $727.86 | 14 | $10,190.04 | $10,303.65 |
$-27.65 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $740.29 | 13 | $9,623.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $741.30 | 13 | $9,636.96 | $10,316.84 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $742.63 | 13 | $9,654.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $748.56 | 13 | $9,731.28 | $10,393.93 |
+$77.09 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $750.52 | 13 | $9,756.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $750.00 | 13 | $9,750.00 | $10,387.17 |
$-6.76 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $743.20 | 13 | $9,661.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $746.80 | 13 | $9,708.40 | $10,433.97 |
+$46.80 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $750.98 | 13 | $9,762.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $753.42 | 13 | $9,794.52 | $10,465.76 |
+$31.79 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $750.98 | 13 | $9,762.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $755.19 | 13 | $9,817.47 | $10,520.49 |
+$54.73 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $752.20 | 13 | $9,778.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $741.03 | 13 | $9,633.42 | $10,375.31 |
$-145.18 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $744.11 | 13 | $9,673.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $745.60 | 13 | $9,692.80 | $10,394.68 |
+$19.37 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $747.32 | 13 | $9,715.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $741.32 | 13 | $9,637.16 | $10,316.74 |
$-77.93 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $741.19 | 13 | $9,635.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $744.66 | 13 | $9,680.52 | $10,361.79 |
+$45.05 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $737.05 | 14 | $10,318.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $740.03 | 14 | $10,360.42 | $10,403.51 |
+$41.72 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $736.16 | 14 | $10,306.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $744.91 | 14 | $10,428.81 | $10,526.01 |
+$122.50 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $757.66 | 13 | $9,849.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $761.03 | 13 | $9,893.39 | $10,569.76 |
+$43.75 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $772.81 | 13 | $10,046.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $770.35 | 13 | $10,014.55 | $10,537.78 |
$-31.98 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $772.32 | 13 | $10,040.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $773.01 | 13 | $10,049.07 | $10,546.75 |
+$8.97 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $772.84 | 13 | $10,046.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $774.12 | 13 | $10,063.56 | $10,563.39 |
+$16.64 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $777.18 | 13 | $10,103.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $778.27 | 13 | $10,117.51 | $10,577.56 |
+$14.17 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $775.88 | 13 | $10,086.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $768.05 | 13 | $9,984.65 | $10,475.77 |
$-101.79 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:55am ET | $770.17 | 13 | $10,012.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $766.11 | 13 | $9,959.43 | $10,422.99 |
$-52.78 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $765.87 | 13 | $9,956.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $763.45 | 13 | $9,924.85 | $10,391.53 |
$-31.46 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $765.87 | 13 | $9,956.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $765.12 | 13 | $9,946.56 | $10,381.78 |
$-9.75 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $771.30 | 13 | $10,026.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $771.87 | 13 | $10,034.31 | $10,389.19 |
+$7.41 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $766.38 | 13 | $9,962.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $761.93 | 13 | $9,905.09 | $10,331.34 |
$-57.85 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $765.04 | 13 | $9,945.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $768.97 | 13 | $9,996.61 | $10,382.43 |
+$51.09 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $771.90 | 13 | $10,034.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $769.32 | 13 | $10,001.10 | $10,348.82 |
$-33.61 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $763.69 | 13 | $9,927.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $758.37 | 13 | $9,858.81 | $10,279.66 |
$-69.16 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $764.94 | 13 | $9,944.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $759.02 | 13 | $9,867.26 | $10,202.70 |
$-76.96 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $760.33 | 13 | $9,884.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $759.56 | 13 | $9,874.28 | $10,192.69 |
$-10.01 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $760.56 | 13 | $9,887.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $761.34 | 13 | $9,897.42 | $10,202.77 |
+$10.08 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $773.74 | 13 | $10,058.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $774.80 | 13 | $10,072.40 | $10,216.55 |
+$13.78 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $772.96 | 13 | $10,048.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $764.09 | 13 | $9,933.17 | $10,101.24 |
$-115.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,101.24
Net Profit/Loss:
+$101.24
Total Return:
+1.01%