Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.9

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.6 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,957.77
Current Value
$11,960.62
Period P&L
$2.85
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
18 / 17
Best Trade
+3.91%
Worst Trade
-2.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$805,943.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$2.85
Gross Return
+0.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,957.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $486.32 23 $11,185.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $495.90 23 $11,405.70 $11,760.43 +$220.40
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $507.38 23 $11,669.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:00am ET $501.88 23 $11,543.13 $11,633.81 $-126.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:40am ET $503.07 23 $11,570.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $500.35 23 $11,508.05 $11,571.25 $-62.56
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $516.75 22 $11,368.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $517.41 22 $11,383.02 $11,585.78 +$14.52
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $518.82 22 $11,414.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $510.43 22 $11,229.51 $11,401.25 $-184.53
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $515.21 22 $11,334.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $510.08 22 $11,221.65 $11,288.28 $-112.97
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $508.18 22 $11,179.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $528.06 22 $11,617.38 $11,725.70 +$437.42
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $522.63 22 $11,497.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $524.78 22 $11,545.16 $11,773.00 +$47.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:45am ET $534.73 22 $11,764.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $536.35 22 $11,799.70 $11,808.64 +$35.64
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET $536.63 22 $11,805.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $527.72 22 $11,609.84 $11,612.62 $-196.02
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $509.77 22 $11,214.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $527.68 22 $11,608.96 $12,006.75 +$394.13
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $574.78 20 $11,495.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $562.04 20 $11,240.80 $11,751.85 $-254.90
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $563.36 20 $11,267.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $557.67 20 $11,153.40 $11,638.05 $-113.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:25am ET $577.97 20 $11,559.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $571.51 20 $11,430.10 $11,508.75 $-129.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $571.01 20 $11,420.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $571.97 20 $11,439.30 $11,527.85 +$19.10
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET $575.07 20 $11,501.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $578.85 20 $11,577.00 $11,603.45 +$75.60
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:25am ET $573.13 20 $11,462.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $574.73 20 $11,494.70 $11,635.55 +$32.10
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:35am ET $583.75 19 $11,091.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $589.70 19 $11,204.21 $11,748.51 +$112.96
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $598.92 19 $11,379.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $597.51 19 $11,352.60 $11,721.53 $-26.98
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $600.91 19 $11,417.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $593.80 19 $11,282.20 $11,586.53 $-135.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $591.70 19 $11,242.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $583.07 19 $11,078.24 $11,422.46 $-164.07
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $586.73 19 $11,147.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $597.53 19 $11,353.16 $11,627.75 +$205.29
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $610.55 19 $11,600.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $624.40 19 $11,863.60 $11,890.81 +$263.06
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $619.67 19 $11,773.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $624.88 19 $11,872.72 $11,989.71 +$98.90
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $624.06 19 $11,857.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $630.38 19 $11,977.22 $12,109.79 +$120.08
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $623.80 19 $11,852.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $614.34 19 $11,672.46 $11,929.96 $-179.83
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $613.09 19 $11,648.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:50am ET $606.01 19 $11,514.19 $11,795.34 $-134.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $606.72 19 $11,527.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $620.17 19 $11,783.23 $12,050.89 +$255.55
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $610.33 19 $11,596.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $602.18 19 $11,441.42 $11,896.04 $-154.85
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $603.26 19 $11,461.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $599.06 19 $11,382.14 $11,816.24 $-79.80
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $611.58 19 $11,620.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $614.47 19 $11,674.84 $11,871.06 +$54.82
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $635.45 18 $11,438.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $642.09 18 $11,557.62 $11,990.55 +$119.49
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $654.42 18 $11,779.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $655.80 18 $11,804.49 $12,015.39 +$24.84
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $654.68 18 $11,784.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $652.22 18 $11,739.96 $11,971.02 $-44.37
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $657.27 18 $11,830.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $656.70 18 $11,820.51 $11,960.62 $-10.40
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,960.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,960.62
Total Return: +19.61%
Back to Anchor