TQQQ Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
-3.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,358.63
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$8,697.96
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
10.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 9.9
30-Day Momentum
11
-9.9%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,697.96
Current Value
$8,358.63
Period P&L
$-339.32
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
16 /
22
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,904.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-339.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-339.32
Gross Return
-3.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,697.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $72.04 | 112 | $8,068.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.02 | 112 | $8,738.24 | $8,785.03 |
+$669.76 (+8.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.07 | 123 | $8,741.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.00 | 123 | $9,225.00 | $9,268.42 |
+$483.39 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $80.96 | 114 | $9,229.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.78 | 114 | $8,866.90 | $8,905.88 |
$-362.54 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.29 | 115 | $8,888.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $76.36 | 115 | $8,781.39 | $8,798.92 |
$-106.96 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $76.77 | 114 | $8,752.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $75.92 | 114 | $8,654.88 | $8,701.61 |
$-97.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $73.03 | 119 | $8,690.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $72.08 | 119 | $8,577.58 | $8,588.62 |
$-112.99 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $76.36 | 112 | $8,552.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.56 | 112 | $8,462.72 | $8,499.02 |
$-89.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.05 | 114 | $8,441.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $73.25 | 114 | $8,350.50 | $8,407.81 |
$-91.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $74.66 | 112 | $8,361.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.30 | 112 | $8,545.66 | $8,591.54 |
+$183.74 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.39 | 118 | $8,542.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $71.49 | 118 | $8,435.82 | $8,485.34 |
$-106.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $65.00 | 130 | $8,450.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 130 | $9,113.65 | $9,148.99 |
+$663.65 (+7.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $71.46 | 128 | $9,146.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.20 | 128 | $8,985.60 | $8,987.75 |
$-161.24 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.39 | 133 | $8,963.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $66.56 | 133 | $8,851.82 | $8,876.03 |
$-111.72 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $64.03 | 138 | $8,836.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.70 | 138 | $9,066.60 | $9,106.49 |
+$230.46 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.22 | 148 | $9,060.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $60.37 | 148 | $8,934.24 | $8,980.17 |
$-126.32 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $61.51 | 145 | $8,918.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $60.46 | 145 | $8,766.70 | $8,827.92 |
$-152.25 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $62.10 | 142 | $8,818.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.56 | 142 | $9,309.52 | $9,319.24 |
+$491.32 (+5.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $67.87 | 137 | $9,298.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.34 | 137 | $9,636.85 | $9,657.90 |
+$338.66 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $74.92 | 128 | $9,589.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $74.00 | 128 | $9,472.64 | $9,541.42 |
$-116.48 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $72.25 | 132 | $9,536.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.61 | 132 | $9,716.52 | $9,721.34 |
+$179.92 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $74.08 | 131 | $9,705.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.41 | 131 | $9,747.70 | $9,763.90 |
+$42.56 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $74.57 | 130 | $9,694.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.97 | 130 | $9,746.10 | $9,815.90 |
+$52.00 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $77.08 | 127 | $9,789.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $76.10 | 127 | $9,664.07 | $9,690.80 |
$-125.10 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $77.32 | 125 | $9,664.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.48 | 125 | $9,560.00 | $9,586.43 |
$-104.37 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $72.70 | 131 | $9,523.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.28 | 131 | $9,599.68 | $9,662.41 |
+$75.98 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.90 | 136 | $9,642.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $69.95 | 136 | $9,512.83 | $9,532.84 |
$-129.57 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $71.04 | 134 | $9,518.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.12 | 134 | $9,262.08 | $9,276.23 |
$-256.61 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $71.04 | 134 | $9,518.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.66 | 134 | $9,334.15 | $9,091.68 |
$-184.55 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $72.08 | 126 | $9,082.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.71 | 126 | $9,161.22 | $9,170.83 |
+$79.15 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.62 | 128 | $9,167.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.93 | 128 | $8,822.40 | $8,825.87 |
$-344.96 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $68.61 | 128 | $8,782.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.09 | 128 | $8,971.52 | $9,014.67 |
+$188.80 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $72.03 | 125 | $9,003.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.92 | 125 | $9,114.38 | $9,125.92 |
+$111.25 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.50 | 127 | $9,080.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.93 | 127 | $8,754.11 | $8,799.53 |
$-326.39 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $71.07 | 123 | $8,741.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.60 | 123 | $8,314.80 | $8,373.33 |
$-426.20 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.05 | 121 | $8,355.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $68.34 | 121 | $8,269.14 | $8,287.42 |
$-85.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $69.46 | 119 | $8,265.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $68.66 | 119 | $8,170.53 | $8,192.80 |
$-94.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $71.21 | 115 | $8,189.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.05 | 115 | $8,285.75 | $8,288.83 |
+$96.03 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $79.81 | 103 | $8,220.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.49 | 103 | $8,290.47 | $8,358.63 |
+$69.80 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,358.63
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,641.37
Total Return:
-16.41%