TSLA Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
-15.82%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,119.47
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$9,644.91
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-5.3%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,644.91
Current Value
$8,119.47
Period P&L
$-1,525.43
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
13 /
24
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-9.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
20.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$649,708.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,525.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,525.43
Gross Return
-15.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,644.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.07 | 25 | $9,476.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $374.95 | 25 | $9,373.87 | $9,542.16 |
$-102.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $373.02 | 25 | $9,325.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.99 | 25 | $9,274.79 | $9,491.58 |
$-50.58 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.49 | 23 | $9,418.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.42 | 23 | $9,738.77 | $9,812.08 |
+$320.50 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $418.75 | 23 | $9,631.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $414.00 | 23 | $9,522.00 | $9,702.83 |
$-109.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $415.57 | 23 | $9,558.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $415.66 | 23 | $9,560.18 | $9,705.02 |
+$2.19 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.87 | 24 | $9,572.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $394.00 | 24 | $9,456.00 | $9,588.14 |
$-116.88 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $392.01 | 24 | $9,408.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.79 | 24 | $9,858.96 | $10,038.86 |
+$450.72 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.45 | 25 | $10,011.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $396.41 | 25 | $9,910.25 | $9,937.86 |
$-101.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $397.24 | 25 | $9,931.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.59 | 25 | $10,114.75 | $10,121.57 |
+$183.71 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.80 | 26 | $10,108.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.55 | 26 | $9,920.30 | $9,932.94 |
$-188.63 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $380.36 | 26 | $9,889.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $375.60 | 26 | $9,765.60 | $9,809.16 |
$-123.78 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $381.09 | 25 | $9,527.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $376.90 | 25 | $9,422.50 | $9,704.41 |
$-104.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $374.80 | 25 | $9,370.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.91 | 25 | $8,447.75 | $8,782.03 |
$-922.37 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $317.16 | 27 | $8,563.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $313.64 | 27 | $8,468.28 | $8,687.09 |
$-94.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $306.98 | 28 | $8,595.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.86 | 28 | $8,536.08 | $8,627.87 |
$-59.22 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $305.46 | 28 | $8,553.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $302.11 | 28 | $8,459.08 | $8,533.93 |
$-93.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $304.84 | 27 | $8,230.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.73 | 27 | $8,362.74 | $8,665.98 |
+$132.05 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $322.00 | 26 | $8,372.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.80 | 26 | $8,418.80 | $8,712.78 |
+$46.80 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.95 | 27 | $8,692.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.32 | 27 | $8,567.51 | $8,587.63 |
$-125.15 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $329.30 | 26 | $8,561.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.45 | 26 | $8,487.70 | $8,513.53 |
$-74.10 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $333.07 | 25 | $8,326.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.92 | 25 | $8,348.06 | $8,534.84 |
+$21.31 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.56 | 26 | $8,490.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.29 | 26 | $8,925.54 | $8,969.82 |
+$434.98 (+5.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.95 | 26 | $8,812.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.45 | 26 | $8,643.70 | $8,800.82 |
$-169.00 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $346.30 | 25 | $8,657.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.62 | 25 | $8,665.56 | $8,808.76 |
+$7.94 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $363.13 | 24 | $8,715.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.28 | 24 | $8,526.72 | $8,620.36 |
$-188.40 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $363.13 | 24 | $8,715.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.60 | 24 | $8,246.40 | $8,151.64 |
$-468.72 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $351.11 | 23 | $8,075.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.43 | 23 | $8,197.89 | $8,273.94 |
+$122.30 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET | $365.60 | 22 | $8,043.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.14 | 22 | $7,834.97 | $8,065.71 |
$-208.23 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $352.30 | 22 | $7,750.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.82 | 22 | $8,158.04 | $8,473.26 |
+$407.55 (+5.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.78 | 23 | $8,343.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $357.38 | 23 | $8,219.78 | $8,349.10 |
$-124.16 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $367.39 | 22 | $8,082.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.00 | 22 | $8,118.00 | $8,384.63 |
+$35.53 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.08 | 23 | $8,304.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.23 | 23 | $8,331.29 | $8,411.08 |
+$26.45 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.79 | 23 | $8,275.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.78 | 23 | $8,228.94 | $8,364.85 |
$-46.23 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $362.08 | 23 | $8,327.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $357.69 | 23 | $8,226.86 | $8,263.87 |
$-100.98 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $365.69 | 22 | $8,045.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $361.33 | 22 | $7,949.26 | $8,167.93 |
$-95.94 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $375.15 | 21 | $7,878.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.82 | 21 | $7,871.27 | $8,161.05 |
$-6.88 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $379.75 | 21 | $7,974.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.77 | 21 | $7,933.17 | $8,119.47 |
$-41.58 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,119.47
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,880.53
Total Return:
-18.81%