Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:24:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
10.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.3

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.2%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,559.06
Current Value
$13,056.60
Period P&L
$1,497.55
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
18 / 17
Best Trade
+7.97%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$863,860.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,497.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,497.55
Gross Return
+12.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,559.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $414.86 27 $11,201.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $419.96 27 $11,338.92 $11,696.76 +$137.70
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.60 27 $11,410.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $417.83 27 $11,281.28 $11,567.97 $-128.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:50am ET $416.18 27 $11,236.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $414.10 27 $11,180.70 $11,511.81 $-56.16
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:05am ET $426.44 26 $11,087.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 26 $10,993.84 $11,418.21 $-93.60
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $425.25 26 $11,056.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $428.33 26 $11,136.45 $11,498.16 +$79.95
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:25am ET $431.06 26 $11,207.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $431.88 26 $11,228.75 $11,519.35 +$21.19
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:15am ET $428.41 26 $11,138.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $429.97 26 $11,179.22 $11,559.91 +$40.56
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $416.34 27 $11,241.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $449.51 27 $12,136.77 $12,455.50 +$895.59
(+8.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $433.17 28 $12,128.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $428.74 28 $12,004.72 $12,331.32 $-124.18
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $422.54 29 $12,253.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $422.01 29 $12,238.29 $12,316.10 $-15.22
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET $433.27 28 $12,131.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $428.04 28 $11,985.12 $12,169.80 $-146.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $423.19 28 $11,849.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $418.31 28 $11,712.68 $12,033.16 $-136.64
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $427.41 28 $11,967.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $430.86 28 $12,064.08 $12,129.75 +$96.60
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $413.65 29 $11,995.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $421.00 29 $12,209.00 $12,342.90 +$213.15
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $414.42 29 $12,018.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $414.81 29 $12,029.49 $12,354.07 +$11.17
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $401.39 30 $12,041.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $415.40 30 $12,462.00 $12,774.22 +$420.15
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $402.08 31 $12,464.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $410.35 31 $12,720.85 $13,030.59 +$256.37
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET $407.63 31 $12,636.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:45am ET $403.24 31 $12,500.44 $12,894.65 $-135.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET $403.64 31 $12,512.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $405.75 31 $12,578.25 $12,959.91 +$65.26
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $396.83 32 $12,698.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $397.90 32 $12,732.80 $12,994.15 +$34.24
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $396.39 32 $12,684.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $395.98 32 $12,671.36 $12,980.87 $-13.28
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:00am ET $388.55 33 $12,822.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $384.47 33 $12,687.51 $12,846.07 $-134.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $390.14 32 $12,484.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $397.68 32 $12,725.76 $13,087.35 +$241.28
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $390.14 32 $12,484.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $397.17 32 $12,709.60 $13,312.47 +$225.12
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $398.37 33 $13,146.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $393.97 33 $13,001.01 $13,167.27 $-145.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $394.02 33 $13,002.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $391.26 33 $12,911.42 $13,076.03 $-91.24
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $395.06 33 $13,036.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $399.34 33 $13,178.22 $13,217.27 +$141.24
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $394.02 33 $13,002.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $403.36 33 $13,311.02 $13,525.63 +$308.36
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $396.72 34 $13,488.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $392.55 34 $13,346.87 $13,384.02 $-141.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $391.42 34 $13,308.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 34 $13,120.77 $13,196.34 $-187.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $392.08 33 $12,938.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $390.35 33 $12,881.55 $13,139.25 $-57.09
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.92 34 $13,053.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $383.07 34 $13,024.38 $13,110.18 $-29.07
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $374.30 35 $13,100.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $377.56 35 $13,214.60 $13,224.11 +$113.93
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $376.54 35 $13,178.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $377.85 35 $13,224.58 $13,269.96 +$45.85
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $376.29 35 $13,170.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $370.19 35 $12,956.65 $13,056.60 $-213.36
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,056.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,056.60
Total Return: +30.57%
Back to Anchor