VTI Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 33 trades in period
-2.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,429.61
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,703.47
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
26.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 26.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,703.47
Current Value
$10,429.61
Period P&L
$-273.86
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
18 /
15
Best Trade
+1.26%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$696,206.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-273.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-273.86
Gross Return
-2.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,703.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.38 | 29 | $10,538.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.31 | 29 | $10,564.99 | $10,671.72 |
+$26.97 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $362.39 | 29 | $10,509.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $360.38 | 29 | $10,451.02 | $10,613.29 |
$-58.43 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $366.76 | 28 | $10,269.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.25 | 28 | $10,283.00 | $10,627.01 |
+$13.72 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.98 | 28 | $10,303.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.77 | 28 | $10,381.70 | $10,705.26 |
+$78.26 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $371.58 | 28 | $10,404.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.30 | 28 | $10,396.40 | $10,697.56 |
$-7.70 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.38 | 29 | $10,654.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.22 | 29 | $10,707.38 | $10,750.92 |
+$53.36 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $370.98 | 28 | $10,387.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.04 | 28 | $10,416.98 | $10,780.60 |
+$29.68 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $370.81 | 29 | $10,753.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.79 | 29 | $10,810.77 | $10,837.88 |
+$57.28 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.32 | 29 | $10,768.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.82 | 29 | $10,608.78 | $10,678.38 |
$-159.50 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $367.40 | 29 | $10,654.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.09 | 29 | $10,674.64 | $10,698.27 |
+$19.89 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.05 | 28 | $10,333.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.13 | 28 | $10,251.64 | $10,616.51 |
$-81.76 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $366.01 | 29 | $10,614.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.78 | 29 | $10,665.62 | $10,667.84 |
+$51.33 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $364.42 | 29 | $10,568.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.60 | 29 | $10,602.40 | $10,701.98 |
+$34.14 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $363.43 | 29 | $10,539.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.02 | 29 | $10,672.58 | $10,835.10 |
+$133.12 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $373.85 | 28 | $10,467.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.70 | 28 | $10,519.60 | $10,886.90 |
+$51.80 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $381.21 | 28 | $10,673.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.80 | 28 | $10,634.26 | $10,847.28 |
$-39.62 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $381.30 | 28 | $10,676.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.64 | 28 | $10,685.92 | $10,856.77 |
+$9.49 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $381.73 | 28 | $10,688.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.54 | 28 | $10,710.99 | $10,879.31 |
+$22.54 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $383.95 | 28 | $10,750.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.61 | 28 | $10,768.94 | $10,897.65 |
+$18.34 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $383.30 | 28 | $10,732.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.75 | 28 | $10,633.00 | $10,798.31 |
$-99.34 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:55am ET | $380.57 | 28 | $10,655.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.49 | 28 | $10,597.72 | $10,740.08 |
$-58.23 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $378.40 | 28 | $10,595.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.20 | 28 | $10,561.60 | $10,706.48 |
$-33.60 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $378.40 | 28 | $10,595.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.73 | 28 | $10,576.30 | $10,687.58 |
$-18.90 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $380.71 | 28 | $10,659.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.15 | 28 | $10,672.20 | $10,699.90 |
+$12.32 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.92 | 28 | $10,581.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.66 | 28 | $10,518.48 | $10,636.62 |
$-63.28 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $376.78 | 28 | $10,549.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.07 | 28 | $10,613.96 | $10,700.71 |
+$64.09 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.37 | 28 | $10,650.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.40 | 28 | $10,623.20 | $10,673.55 |
$-27.16 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.55 | 28 | $10,543.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.56 | 28 | $10,459.68 | $10,589.83 |
$-83.72 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $376.61 | 28 | $10,545.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.72 | 28 | $10,464.16 | $10,508.91 |
$-80.92 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.37 | 28 | $10,482.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.88 | 28 | $10,468.64 | $10,495.19 |
$-13.72 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $374.42 | 28 | $10,483.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.80 | 28 | $10,522.40 | $10,533.83 |
+$38.64 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $381.21 | 27 | $10,292.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.86 | 27 | $10,310.22 | $10,551.38 |
+$17.55 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.04 | 27 | $10,288.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.53 | 27 | $10,166.31 | $10,429.61 |
$-121.77 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,429.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$429.61
Total Return:
+4.30%