XLF Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 32 trades in period
-2.89%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,024.62
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,292.73
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
10.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-4.6%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,292.73
Current Value
$9,024.62
Period P&L
$-268.12
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
13 /
19
Best Trade
+1.08%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$592,509.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-268.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-268.12
Gross Return
-2.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,292.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.12 | 171 | $9,254.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $53.55 | 171 | $9,157.05 | $9,195.27 |
$-97.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:40pm ET | $53.63 | 171 | $9,170.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.87 | 171 | $9,210.92 | $9,235.46 |
+$40.19 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.48 | 172 | $9,198.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.81 | 172 | $9,255.32 | $9,292.22 |
+$56.76 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.30 | 165 | $9,289.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.63 | 165 | $9,178.95 | $9,181.67 |
$-110.55 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $55.59 | 165 | $9,172.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.96 | 165 | $9,233.40 | $9,242.72 |
+$61.05 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.69 | 165 | $9,188.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.10 | 165 | $9,255.68 | $9,309.56 |
+$66.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $56.62 | 164 | $9,285.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.63 | 164 | $9,286.50 | $9,310.79 |
+$1.23 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.28 | 165 | $9,285.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.24 | 165 | $9,280.42 | $9,305.84 |
$-4.95 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.98 | 166 | $9,292.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.06 | 166 | $9,305.13 | $9,318.29 |
+$12.45 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.79 | 167 | $9,317.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.70 | 167 | $9,301.90 | $9,302.43 |
$-15.86 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $56.85 | 163 | $9,265.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.04 | 163 | $9,297.52 | $9,334.21 |
+$31.78 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.34 | 162 | $9,289.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:25pm ET | $56.76 | 162 | $9,195.93 | $9,241.06 |
$-93.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.74 | 162 | $9,192.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.36 | 162 | $9,292.32 | $9,340.69 |
+$99.63 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.84 | 161 | $9,312.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.30 | 161 | $9,386.30 | $9,414.75 |
+$74.06 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $58.00 | 162 | $9,396.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.54 | 162 | $9,321.48 | $9,340.23 |
$-74.52 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 162 | $9,313.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.78 | 162 | $9,361.17 | $9,388.02 |
+$47.79 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.76 | 162 | $9,357.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.18 | 162 | $9,425.16 | $9,456.06 |
+$68.04 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $58.17 | 162 | $9,422.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.08 | 162 | $9,408.96 | $9,442.29 |
$-13.77 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.65 | 163 | $9,396.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.89 | 163 | $9,436.07 | $9,481.41 |
+$39.12 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.41 | 165 | $9,472.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.32 | 165 | $9,457.80 | $9,466.56 |
$-14.85 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $58.23 | 162 | $9,433.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.07 | 162 | $9,407.34 | $9,440.64 |
$-25.92 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.26 | 162 | $9,438.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.83 | 162 | $9,369.27 | $9,371.79 |
$-68.85 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $58.15 | 161 | $9,362.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.74 | 161 | $9,295.34 | $9,304.17 |
$-67.62 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.58 | 161 | $9,271.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.45 | 161 | $9,249.45 | $9,282.44 |
$-21.73 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.40 | 158 | $9,226.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 158 | $9,190.86 | $9,246.89 |
$-35.55 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.73 | 160 | $9,236.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.03 | 160 | $9,124.80 | $9,134.89 |
$-112.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.01 | 160 | $9,121.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.59 | 160 | $9,214.40 | $9,227.69 |
+$92.80 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $57.24 | 161 | $9,215.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.98 | 161 | $9,174.39 | $9,186.72 |
$-40.97 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.50 | 162 | $9,153.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $55.83 | 162 | $9,043.65 | $9,077.37 |
$-109.35 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $55.97 | 162 | $9,067.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.70 | 162 | $9,023.40 | $9,033.60 |
$-43.77 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.78 | 161 | $8,979.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.75 | 161 | $8,975.75 | $9,029.57 |
$-4.03 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.60 | 165 | $9,009.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.57 | 165 | $9,004.05 | $9,024.62 |
$-4.95 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,024.62
Net Profit/Loss:
$-975.38
Total Return:
-9.75%