XLK Anchor's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 34 trades in period
+9.60%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,199.04
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$12,043.03
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
40.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 40.2
30-Day Momentum
64
+8.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.0
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,043.03
Current Value
$13,199.04
Period P&L
$1,156.01
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
16 /
18
Best Trade
+4.65%
Worst Trade
-2.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
22.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$827,014.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,156.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,156.01
Gross Return
+9.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $12,043.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $180.55 | 66 | $11,916.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.12 | 66 | $11,887.92 | $12,014.65 |
$-28.38 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $181.18 | 66 | $11,957.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $179.12 | 66 | $11,821.92 | $11,878.69 |
$-135.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.01 | 63 | $11,718.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.89 | 63 | $11,711.07 | $11,871.13 |
$-7.56 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $184.49 | 64 | $11,807.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.13 | 64 | $11,528.00 | $11,591.77 |
$-279.36 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.18 | 65 | $11,581.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.32 | 65 | $11,980.80 | $11,990.87 |
+$399.10 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.09 | 65 | $11,965.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.98 | 65 | $11,893.38 | $11,918.40 |
$-72.47 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $184.06 | 64 | $11,779.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.59 | 64 | $11,813.76 | $11,952.32 |
+$33.92 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.62 | 66 | $11,788.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $176.82 | 66 | $11,670.45 | $11,833.85 |
$-118.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $172.27 | 68 | $11,714.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.26 | 68 | $12,121.68 | $12,241.17 |
+$407.32 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $180.48 | 67 | $12,091.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.41 | 67 | $12,020.47 | $12,169.81 |
$-71.36 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.38 | 67 | $12,018.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $177.51 | 67 | $11,893.17 | $12,044.52 |
$-125.29 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $177.57 | 67 | $11,897.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $175.76 | 67 | $11,775.92 | $11,923.25 |
$-121.27 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.37 | 69 | $11,755.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $168.45 | 69 | $11,623.05 | $11,790.77 |
$-132.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $169.92 | 69 | $11,724.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $168.12 | 69 | $11,600.28 | $11,666.57 |
$-124.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $174.25 | 66 | $11,500.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.24 | 66 | $11,697.84 | $11,863.91 |
+$197.34 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.10 | 68 | $11,838.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.20 | 68 | $12,389.61 | $12,414.72 |
+$550.81 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $186.66 | 66 | $12,319.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.29 | 66 | $12,097.14 | $12,192.30 |
$-222.42 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $186.76 | 65 | $12,139.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.05 | 65 | $12,223.25 | $12,276.15 |
+$83.85 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.41 | 65 | $12,116.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.59 | 65 | $12,323.35 | $12,482.85 |
+$206.70 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $190.98 | 65 | $12,413.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.29 | 65 | $12,433.53 | $12,502.68 |
+$19.83 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $191.13 | 65 | $12,423.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.53 | 65 | $12,124.45 | $12,203.36 |
$-299.32 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $184.79 | 66 | $12,196.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $182.93 | 66 | $12,073.38 | $12,080.60 |
$-122.76 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $183.35 | 65 | $11,917.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.08 | 65 | $11,965.20 | $12,128.05 |
+$47.45 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.45 | 67 | $12,090.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.56 | 67 | $12,231.52 | $12,269.42 |
+$141.37 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.21 | 67 | $12,141.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.42 | 67 | $12,490.14 | $12,618.49 |
+$349.07 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $187.48 | 67 | $12,561.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $185.53 | 67 | $12,430.45 | $12,487.78 |
$-130.71 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.37 | 68 | $12,469.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.28 | 68 | $12,463.04 | $12,481.66 |
$-6.12 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.13 | 68 | $12,452.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.05 | 68 | $12,719.40 | $12,748.22 |
+$266.56 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $188.02 | 67 | $12,597.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.79 | 67 | $12,581.93 | $12,732.81 |
$-15.41 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.39 | 68 | $12,606.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.14 | 68 | $12,725.52 | $12,851.81 |
+$119.00 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.89 | 70 | $12,802.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.57 | 70 | $12,920.25 | $12,969.76 |
+$117.95 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $185.49 | 69 | $12,799.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $183.34 | 69 | $12,650.46 | $12,821.07 |
$-148.69 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $187.72 | 68 | $12,764.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.64 | 68 | $13,031.52 | $13,087.82 |
+$266.75 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $194.93 | 67 | $13,060.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.59 | 67 | $13,171.53 | $13,199.04 |
+$111.22 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,199.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,199.04
Total Return:
+31.99%