Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:11

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 34.9/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 33.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-0.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,515.18
Current Value
$11,990.87
Period P&L
$475.69
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+3.45%
Worst Trade
-2.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$641,426.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$475.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$475.69
Gross Return
+4.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $11,515.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $159.82 72 $11,507.04
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $160.04 72 $11,523.24 $11,528.50 +$16.20
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $157.02 73 $11,462.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $158.40 73 $11,563.20 $11,629.24 +$100.74
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $158.19 73 $11,547.87
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $160.35 73 $11,705.55 $11,786.92 +$157.68
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $162.49 72 $11,699.28
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.89 72 $11,800.09 $11,887.73 +$100.81
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $168.42 70 $11,789.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $170.03 70 $11,902.10 $12,000.43 +$112.70
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $177.49 67 $11,891.82
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $175.45 67 $11,755.15 $11,863.76 $-136.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
7 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $175.74 67 $11,774.58
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $177.18 67 $11,871.06 $11,960.24 +$96.48
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $176.12 67 $11,800.04
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $177.43 67 $11,887.81 $12,048.01 +$87.77
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:05am ET $172.85 69 $11,926.65
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:20am ET $170.92 69 $11,793.48 $11,914.84 $-133.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
10 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $175.93 67 $11,787.31
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $176.38 67 $11,817.46 $11,944.99 +$30.15
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $180.97 66 $11,944.02
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $183.05 66 $12,081.30 $12,082.27 +$137.28
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $184.56 65 $11,996.40
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $185.22 65 $12,039.30 $12,125.17 +$42.90
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $190.30 63 $11,988.90
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.13 63 $12,104.19 $12,240.46 +$115.29
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $197.03 62 $12,215.86
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $197.54 62 $12,247.48 $12,272.08 +$31.62
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $191.53 64 $12,257.92
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $188.53 64 $12,065.92 $12,080.08 $-192.00
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $185.60 65 $12,064.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $183.61 65 $11,934.65 $11,950.73 $-129.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $178.24 67 $11,942.08
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $176.35 67 $11,815.12 $11,823.76 $-126.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $183.69 64 $11,756.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 64 $12,156.80 $12,224.40 +$400.64
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $191.00 64 $12,224.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET $189.08 64 $12,101.12 $12,101.52 $-122.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $188.68 64 $12,075.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.72 64 $11,950.08 $11,976.40 $-125.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $191.22 62 $11,855.64
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $193.06 62 $11,969.72 $12,090.48 +$114.08
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $184.39 65 $11,985.35
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $183.66 65 $11,937.90 $12,043.03 $-47.45
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $180.55 66 $11,916.30
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $180.12 66 $11,887.92 $12,014.65 $-28.38
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $181.18 66 $11,957.88
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $179.12 66 $11,821.92 $11,878.69 $-135.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $186.01 63 $11,718.63
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $185.89 63 $11,711.07 $11,871.13 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $184.49 64 $11,807.36
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $180.13 64 $11,528.00 $11,591.77 $-279.36
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.18 65 $11,581.70
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $184.32 65 $11,980.80 $11,990.87 +$399.10
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,990.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,990.87
Total Return: +19.91%
Back to Anchor