SPXU Anchor's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 57 trades in period
-5.49%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,437.16
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$7,869.36
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.8%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,278
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,869.36
Current Value
$7,437.16
Period P&L
$-432.19
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
33 /
24
Best Trade
+4.47%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,222.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-432.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-432.19
Gross Return
-5.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,869.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $53.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $50.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,549.68 |
$-319.68 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 12:25pm ET | $52.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,589.72 |
+$40.04 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $54.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $54.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,629.20 |
+$39.48 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $55.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $55.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,667.84 |
+$38.64 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:55am ET | $56.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $56.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,737.20 |
+$69.36 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:50pm ET | $51.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,568.36 |
$-168.84 (-2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET | $50.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $49.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,535.36 |
$-33.00 (-0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $50.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,548.77 |
+$13.41 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $49.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $49.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,553.30 |
+$4.53 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $49.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $49.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,604.12 |
+$50.82 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $51.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,643.34 |
+$39.22 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $51.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $52.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,718.82 |
+$75.48 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $51.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $51.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,741.47 |
+$22.65 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET | $49.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,542.20 |
$-199.27 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $47.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:50am ET | $47.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,522.67 |
$-19.53 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $48.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,545.92 |
+$23.25 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $48.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $48.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,564.02 |
+$18.10 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $47.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,606.16 |
+$42.14 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $46.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,528.54 |
$-77.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $48.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,570.66 |
+$42.12 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,617.06 |
+$46.40 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $49.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,661.43 |
+$44.37 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $48.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,678.92 |
+$17.49 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $48.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,693.93 |
+$15.01 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $46.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $47.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,732.92 |
+$38.99 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $48.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $48.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,808.59 |
+$75.67 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $47.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,852.60 |
+$44.01 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $49.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,895.80 |
+$43.20 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,955.07 |
+$59.27 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $49.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,976.67 |
+$21.60 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $49.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $50.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,023.57 |
+$46.90 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $50.16 | 159 | $7,975.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.40 | 159 | $8,331.60 | $8,379.73 |
+$356.16 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $53.36 | 157 | $8,377.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $52.83 | 157 | $8,293.53 | $8,295.74 |
$-83.99 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $50.39 | 164 | $8,263.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.23 | 164 | $8,401.72 | $8,433.50 |
+$137.76 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $53.06 | 158 | $8,383.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.09 | 158 | $8,388.22 | $8,438.24 |
+$4.74 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.36 | 158 | $8,430.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $52.81 | 158 | $8,343.98 | $8,351.34 |
$-86.90 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $52.12 | 160 | $8,339.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.38 | 160 | $8,540.00 | $8,552.23 |
+$200.90 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.76 | 153 | $8,531.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $55.05 | 153 | $8,422.65 | $8,443.60 |
$-108.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.55 | 152 | $8,443.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $54.90 | 152 | $8,344.80 | $8,344.80 |
$-98.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.26 | 148 | $8,326.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.67 | 148 | $8,091.16 | $8,109.48 |
$-235.32 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $59.61 | 136 | $8,106.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.91 | 136 | $8,147.76 | $8,150.28 |
+$40.80 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 135 | $8,093.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $59.34 | 135 | $8,010.90 | $8,067.93 |
$-82.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.94 | 144 | $8,055.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.33 | 144 | $7,967.52 | $7,980.38 |
$-87.55 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.37 | 144 | $7,973.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.22 | 144 | $7,951.68 | $7,958.78 |
$-21.60 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $55.54 | 143 | $7,942.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $54.87 | 143 | $7,846.41 | $7,862.97 |
$-95.81 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $50.64 | 155 | $7,848.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.67 | 155 | $7,854.62 | $7,869.00 |
+$6.03 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.27 | 159 | $7,833.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.10 | 159 | $7,965.90 | $8,000.97 |
+$131.97 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.91 | 167 | $8,000.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.43 | 167 | $7,920.81 | $7,920.81 |
$-80.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $46.30 | 171 | $7,917.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $45.82 | 171 | $7,835.20 | $7,838.71 |
$-82.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $45.24 | 173 | $7,826.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.26 | 173 | $7,657.03 | $7,669.22 |
$-169.49 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $43.97 | 174 | $7,650.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.58 | 174 | $7,583.79 | $7,602.25 |
$-66.97 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.81 | 173 | $7,578.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.73 | 173 | $7,565.01 | $7,588.48 |
$-13.77 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.49 | 174 | $7,567.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $42.96 | 174 | $7,475.04 | $7,496.26 |
$-92.22 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $42.94 | 174 | $7,471.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.45 | 174 | $7,560.30 | $7,585.00 |
+$88.74 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $43.34 | 175 | $7,584.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.93 | 175 | $7,512.75 | $7,513.25 |
$-71.75 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.77 | 179 | $7,476.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $41.35 | 179 | $7,400.76 | $7,437.18 |
$-76.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $41.60 | 178 | $7,404.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.60 | 178 | $7,404.80 | $7,437.16 |
$-0.02 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,437.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,562.84
Total Return:
-25.63%