SPXU Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 42 trades in period
-1.14%
Year to Date Return
$7,437.16
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$7,522.67
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 11.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.8%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,643
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,522.67
Current Value
$7,437.16
Period P&L
$-85.50
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
23 /
19
Best Trade
+4.47%
Worst Trade
-2.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,222.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-85.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-85.50
Gross Return
-1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,522.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $48.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,545.92 |
+$23.25 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $48.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $48.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,564.02 |
+$18.10 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.33 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $47.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,606.16 |
+$42.14 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $46.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,528.54 |
$-77.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $48.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $48.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,570.66 |
+$42.12 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,617.06 |
+$46.40 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $49.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,661.43 |
+$44.37 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $48.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,678.92 |
+$17.49 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $48.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,693.93 |
+$15.01 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $46.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $47.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,732.92 |
+$38.99 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $48.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $48.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,808.59 |
+$75.67 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $47.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,852.60 |
+$44.01 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $48.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $49.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,895.80 |
+$43.20 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,955.07 |
+$59.27 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $49.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,976.67 |
+$21.60 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $49.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $50.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,023.57 |
+$46.90 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $50.16 | 159 | $7,975.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.40 | 159 | $8,331.60 | $8,379.73 |
+$356.16 (+4.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $53.36 | 157 | $8,377.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $52.83 | 157 | $8,293.53 | $8,295.74 |
$-83.99 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $50.39 | 164 | $8,263.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.23 | 164 | $8,401.72 | $8,433.50 |
+$137.76 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $53.06 | 158 | $8,383.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.09 | 158 | $8,388.22 | $8,438.24 |
+$4.74 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.36 | 158 | $8,430.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $52.81 | 158 | $8,343.98 | $8,351.34 |
$-86.90 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $52.12 | 160 | $8,339.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.38 | 160 | $8,540.00 | $8,552.23 |
+$200.90 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.76 | 153 | $8,531.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $55.05 | 153 | $8,422.65 | $8,443.60 |
$-108.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.55 | 152 | $8,443.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $54.90 | 152 | $8,344.80 | $8,344.80 |
$-98.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $56.26 | 148 | $8,326.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.67 | 148 | $8,091.16 | $8,109.48 |
$-235.32 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $59.61 | 136 | $8,106.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.91 | 136 | $8,147.76 | $8,150.28 |
+$40.80 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 135 | $8,093.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $59.34 | 135 | $8,010.90 | $8,067.93 |
$-82.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.94 | 144 | $8,055.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.33 | 144 | $7,967.52 | $7,980.38 |
$-87.55 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.37 | 144 | $7,973.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.22 | 144 | $7,951.68 | $7,958.78 |
$-21.60 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $55.54 | 143 | $7,942.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $54.87 | 143 | $7,846.41 | $7,862.97 |
$-95.81 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $50.64 | 155 | $7,848.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.67 | 155 | $7,854.62 | $7,869.00 |
+$6.03 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.27 | 159 | $7,833.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.10 | 159 | $7,965.90 | $8,000.97 |
+$131.97 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.91 | 167 | $8,000.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.43 | 167 | $7,920.81 | $7,920.81 |
$-80.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $46.30 | 171 | $7,917.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $45.82 | 171 | $7,835.20 | $7,838.71 |
$-82.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $45.24 | 173 | $7,826.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.26 | 173 | $7,657.03 | $7,669.22 |
$-169.49 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $43.97 | 174 | $7,650.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.58 | 174 | $7,583.79 | $7,602.25 |
$-66.97 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.81 | 173 | $7,578.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.73 | 173 | $7,565.01 | $7,588.48 |
$-13.77 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.49 | 174 | $7,567.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $42.96 | 174 | $7,475.04 | $7,496.26 |
$-92.22 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $42.94 | 174 | $7,471.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.45 | 174 | $7,560.30 | $7,585.00 |
+$88.74 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $43.34 | 175 | $7,584.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.93 | 175 | $7,512.75 | $7,513.25 |
$-71.75 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.77 | 179 | $7,476.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $41.35 | 179 | $7,400.76 | $7,437.18 |
$-76.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $41.60 | 178 | $7,404.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.60 | 178 | $7,404.80 | $7,437.16 |
$-0.02 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,437.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,562.84
Total Return:
-25.63%