VXX Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+12.52%
Year to Date Return
$11,572.66
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,284.94
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
28.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 28.8
30-Day Momentum
50
+5.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.1
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,729
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,284.94
Current Value
$11,572.66
Period P&L
$1,287.71
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
22 /
19
Best Trade
+9.10%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
12.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,950.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,287.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,287.71
Gross Return
+12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,284.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,316.46 |
+$31.52 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $26.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,328.25 |
+$11.79 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,197.24 |
$-131.01 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $26.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,260.12 |
+$62.88 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $26.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,324.96 |
+$64.84 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.21 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $26.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,366.45 |
+$41.49 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $27.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,219.51 |
$-146.94 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $26.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,237.10 |
+$17.59 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,323.12 |
+$86.02 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,407.86 |
+$84.74 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,486.79 |
+$78.93 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,484.80 |
$-1.99 (-0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,558.71 |
+$73.91 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,528.63 |
$-30.08 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,589.39 |
+$60.76 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $26.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $27.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,642.45 |
+$53.06 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $29.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $28.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,500.10 |
$-142.35 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $32.97 | 318 | $10,484.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.97 | 318 | $11,438.46 | $11,454.10 |
+$954.00 (+9.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.11 | 356 | $11,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $31.62 | 356 | $11,256.72 | $11,279.66 |
$-174.44 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $32.87 | 343 | $11,272.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $32.49 | 343 | $11,144.07 | $11,151.04 |
$-128.63 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.55 | 332 | $11,138.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.10 | 332 | $10,989.20 | $11,001.64 |
$-149.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.24 | 330 | $10,968.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.78 | 330 | $10,819.05 | $10,851.92 |
$-149.72 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.65 | 342 | $10,824.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.92 | 342 | $11,260.01 | $11,287.63 |
+$435.71 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $34.90 | 323 | $11,272.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $34.51 | 323 | $11,146.73 | $11,161.66 |
$-125.97 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.70 | 331 | $11,154.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $33.35 | 331 | $11,040.50 | $11,047.46 |
$-114.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $34.03 | 324 | $11,027.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.99 | 324 | $11,012.76 | $11,032.88 |
$-14.58 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $36.19 | 304 | $11,001.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.43 | 304 | $11,378.72 | $11,409.84 |
+$376.96 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 300 | $11,409.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.21 | 300 | $11,163.00 | $11,163.84 |
$-246.00 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.96 | 319 | $11,152.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $34.60 | 319 | $11,037.40 | $11,049.00 |
$-114.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $35.43 | 311 | $11,018.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $35.08 | 311 | $10,908.33 | $10,938.60 |
$-110.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $33.94 | 322 | $10,930.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.65 | 322 | $11,157.30 | $11,165.61 |
+$227.01 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.55 | 353 | $11,137.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.88 | 353 | $11,253.64 | $11,282.06 |
+$116.45 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.22 | 373 | $11,270.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.09 | 373 | $11,598.43 | $11,610.30 |
+$328.24 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.94 | 401 | $11,604.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.03 | 401 | $11,641.03 | $11,646.39 |
+$36.09 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $29.38 | 396 | $11,634.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $29.07 | 396 | $11,511.72 | $11,523.63 |
$-122.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $29.50 | 390 | $11,505.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.30 | 390 | $11,427.00 | $11,445.59 |
$-78.04 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.16 | 392 | $11,431.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.69 | 392 | $11,638.48 | $11,652.45 |
+$206.86 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.40 | 396 | $11,642.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.54 | 396 | $11,697.84 | $11,707.89 |
+$55.44 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $28.94 | 404 | $11,691.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $28.55 | 404 | $11,534.20 | $11,550.33 |
$-157.56 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.78 | 401 | $11,540.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $28.45 | 401 | $11,408.45 | $11,418.00 |
$-132.33 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $28.00 | 407 | $11,393.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.38 | 407 | $11,548.63 | $11,572.66 |
+$154.66 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,572.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,572.66
Total Return:
+15.73%