Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,974.83
Current Value
$15,902.83
Period P&L
$-1,071.94
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.32%
Worst Trade
-6.23%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,624.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,071.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,071.94
Gross Return
-6.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $16,974.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.84 46 $16,690.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.69 46 $16,407.74 $16,691.88 $-282.90
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $367.32 45 $16,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $369.15 45 $16,611.75 $16,774.23 +$82.35
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $367.26 45 $16,526.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $344.39 45 $15,497.55 $15,745.30 $-1,028.92
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:20am ET $354.74 44 $15,608.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET $362.04 44 $15,929.76 $16,066.50 +$321.20
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $362.92 44 $15,968.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $341.05 44 $15,006.20 $15,104.01 $-962.49
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $341.47 44 $15,024.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 44 $15,823.50 $15,902.83 +$798.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,902.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,902.83
Total Return: +59.03%
Back to Band Snapper