Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:59:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.4

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$480.23
Current Value
$15,669.35
Period P&L
$-808.78
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+1.77%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,749.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-808.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-808.78
Gross Return
-168.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-168.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $480.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $341.93 46 $15,728.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 46 $15,997.88 $16,209.03 +$269.10
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $341.93 46 $15,728.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 46 $15,942.68 $16,422.93 +$213.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $340.12 48 $16,325.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $334.35 48 $16,048.80 $16,145.97 $-276.96
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $340.12 48 $16,325.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $342.54 48 $16,441.92 $16,262.13 +$116.16
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $337.94 48 $16,221.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $330.32 48 $15,855.12 $15,896.13 $-366.00
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $339.88 46 $15,634.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $345.90 46 $15,911.40 $16,173.05 +$276.92
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.81 46 $16,045.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.86 46 $15,541.56 $15,669.35 $-503.70
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,669.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,669.35
Total Return: +56.69%
Back to Band Snapper