Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.7/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 44.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-7.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,914.51
Current Value
$20,827.91
Period P&L
$-1,086.57
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.80%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
-1.19%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$243,674.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,086.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,086.57
Gross Return
-4.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $21,914.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,266.00 17 $21,522.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,253.18 17 $21,303.98 $22,210.96 $-218.02
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,202.00 18 $21,635.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $1,151.23 18 $20,722.23 $21,297.23 $-913.73
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,202.00 18 $21,635.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $1,154.23 18 $20,776.23 $20,437.50 $-859.73
(-4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,142.84 17 $19,428.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,121.14 17 $19,059.38 $20,068.60 $-368.90
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,124.86 17 $19,122.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,137.80 17 $19,342.60 $20,288.50 +$219.90
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,134.87 17 $19,292.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,166.60 17 $19,832.20 $20,827.91 +$539.41
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,827.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,827.91
Total Return: +108.28%
Back to Band Snapper