Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
19.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 47.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 47.2

30-Day Momentum

11
-3.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$30,893.71
Current Value
$30,789.43
Period P&L
$-104.31
Max Drawdown
-54.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-10.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$356,568.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-104.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-104.31
Gross Return
-0.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $30,893.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $974.00 34 $33,116.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $925.43 34 $31,464.62 $30,182.46 $-1,651.41
(-5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $933.44 32 $29,870.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $939.05 32 $30,049.60 $30,361.98 +$179.52
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $933.44 32 $29,870.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $947.74 32 $30,327.84 $30,819.74 +$457.76
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,014.00 30 $30,420.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 30 $27,290.40 $27,690.08 $-3,129.66
(-10.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $926.03 29 $26,854.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 29 $28,331.84 $29,167.17 +$1,477.09
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:55am ET $988.81 29 $28,675.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 29 $30,297.75 $30,789.43 +$1,622.26
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,789.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,789.43
Total Return: +207.89%
Back to Band Snapper