MS Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 51 trades in period
-5.71%
Last Year Return
$19,546.29
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$20,729.32
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
50.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 50.1
30-Day Momentum
2
-4.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,128
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$20,729.32
Current Value
$19,546.29
Period P&L
$-1,183.04
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
24 /
27
Best Trade
+6.18%
Worst Trade
-8.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,173,548.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,183.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,183.04
Gross Return
-5.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $20,729.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:55am ET | $162.09 | 131 | $21,233.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.94 | 131 | $20,820.49 | $20,874.07 |
$-413.31 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $156.92 | 133 | $20,870.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $155.67 | 133 | $20,703.45 | $20,707.16 |
$-166.91 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $155.17 | 133 | $20,637.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $164.76 | 133 | $21,913.08 | $21,982.63 |
+$1,275.47 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $162.09 | 135 | $21,882.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $159.31 | 135 | $21,506.85 | $21,607.33 |
$-375.30 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $165.83 | 130 | $21,557.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.67 | 130 | $21,277.10 | $21,326.53 |
$-280.80 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $163.68 | 130 | $21,278.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $169.93 | 130 | $22,090.90 | $22,139.03 |
+$812.50 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 137 | $21,983.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.24 | 137 | $21,678.88 | $21,834.89 |
$-304.14 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $162.83 | 134 | $21,819.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $169.05 | 134 | $22,652.70 | $22,668.37 |
+$833.48 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $174.72 | 129 | $22,538.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $180.29 | 129 | $23,257.41 | $23,386.90 |
+$718.53 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:55am ET | $179.39 | 130 | $23,320.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.70 | 130 | $23,361.00 | $23,427.20 |
+$40.30 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.48 | 130 | $23,332.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.54 | 130 | $23,080.20 | $23,175.00 |
$-252.20 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $187.44 | 123 | $23,055.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $186.59 | 123 | $22,950.57 | $23,070.45 |
$-104.55 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.03 | 127 | $22,990.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $190.14 | 127 | $24,147.78 | $24,227.42 |
+$1,156.97 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $191.60 | 126 | $24,141.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.71 | 126 | $22,643.46 | $22,729.28 |
$-1,498.14 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $181.85 | 124 | $22,548.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.90 | 124 | $22,679.60 | $22,860.10 |
+$130.82 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.10 | 129 | $22,845.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.04 | 129 | $21,677.16 | $21,691.36 |
$-1,168.74 (-5.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $171.10 | 126 | $21,558.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.77 | 126 | $21,265.02 | $21,397.78 |
$-293.58 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $174.57 | 122 | $21,296.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.92 | 122 | $19,754.24 | $19,855.09 |
$-1,542.69 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $167.82 | 118 | $19,802.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.88 | 118 | $18,393.25 | $18,446.17 |
$-1,408.92 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.20 | 117 | $18,392.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.67 | 117 | $18,330.39 | $18,384.16 |
$-62.01 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $158.40 | 116 | $18,374.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.34 | 116 | $19,179.44 | $19,188.62 |
+$804.46 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 117 | $19,027.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.76 | 117 | $18,691.92 | $18,852.83 |
$-335.79 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.74 | 113 | $18,841.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.27 | 113 | $18,788.51 | $18,799.72 |
$-53.11 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $167.61 | 112 | $18,772.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.96 | 112 | $19,819.52 | $19,846.92 |
+$1,047.20 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.31 | 113 | $19,810.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.41 | 113 | $20,612.89 | $20,649.78 |
+$802.86 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $191.16 | 108 | $20,645.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $190.74 | 108 | $20,599.92 | $20,603.88 |
$-45.90 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $191.13 | 107 | $20,451.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $189.28 | 107 | $20,252.96 | $20,405.40 |
$-198.48 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.50 | 108 | $20,358.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.05 | 108 | $20,525.94 | $20,573.34 |
+$167.94 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $189.41 | 108 | $20,456.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.53 | 108 | $20,793.24 | $20,909.76 |
+$336.42 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.83 | 111 | $20,849.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.95 | 111 | $21,416.90 | $21,477.53 |
+$567.77 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.99 | 113 | $21,469.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 113 | $22,604.52 | $22,612.61 |
+$1,135.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $201.94 | 111 | $22,415.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $201.98 | 111 | $22,419.78 | $22,617.05 |
+$4.44 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $207.09 | 109 | $22,572.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $210.60 | 109 | $22,955.40 | $22,999.64 |
+$382.59 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.72 | 106 | $22,866.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.75 | 106 | $22,127.50 | $22,260.82 |
$-738.82 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $207.92 | 107 | $22,247.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.23 | 107 | $23,457.08 | $23,470.46 |
+$1,209.64 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $220.33 | 106 | $23,354.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.86 | 106 | $23,941.16 | $24,056.64 |
+$586.18 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 107 | $23,935.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.79 | 107 | $23,089.53 | $23,210.27 |
$-846.37 (-3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 107 | $23,935.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.85 | 107 | $23,202.95 | $22,477.32 |
$-732.95 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $220.34 | 102 | $22,474.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.04 | 102 | $22,647.57 | $22,650.72 |
+$173.40 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $227.34 | 99 | $22,506.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.88 | 99 | $20,679.12 | $20,823.18 |
$-1,827.54 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $214.07 | 97 | $20,764.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.09 | 97 | $21,154.25 | $21,212.64 |
+$389.45 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $220.34 | 102 | $22,474.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.50 | 102 | $21,063.00 | $19,801.47 |
$-1,411.17 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $208.97 | 94 | $19,643.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $218.58 | 94 | $20,546.52 | $20,704.81 |
+$903.34 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $217.55 | 95 | $20,667.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.94 | 95 | $20,324.54 | $20,362.10 |
$-342.71 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $217.68 | 93 | $20,244.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $219.44 | 93 | $20,407.92 | $20,525.32 |
+$163.22 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.64 | 95 | $20,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.20 | 95 | $20,444.00 | $20,483.52 |
$-41.80 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.64 | 95 | $20,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.27 | 95 | $20,545.65 | $20,543.37 |
+$59.85 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $214.76 | 95 | $20,401.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $212.38 | 95 | $20,176.57 | $20,318.22 |
$-225.15 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $216.30 | 93 | $20,115.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $217.96 | 93 | $20,269.82 | $20,472.13 |
+$153.91 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $215.73 | 94 | $20,278.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $207.24 | 94 | $19,480.56 | $19,674.07 |
$-798.06 (-3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $206.63 | 95 | $19,629.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $205.28 | 95 | $19,501.60 | $19,546.29 |
$-127.78 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,546.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,546.29
Total Return:
+95.46%