Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$307.46
Current Value
$15,902.83
Period P&L
$-4,845.08
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+5.46%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
-1.39%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$612,715.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,845.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,845.08
Gross Return
-1575.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-1575.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $307.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $383.50 53 $20,325.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $374.10 53 $19,827.30 $20,019.70 $-498.20
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $383.50 53 $20,325.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 53 $19,822.00 $19,516.20 $-503.50
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.46 53 $19,422.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $385.14 53 $20,412.42 $20,506.24 +$990.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $402.80 50 $20,140.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $390.85 50 $19,542.50 $19,908.49 $-597.75
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $381.70 52 $19,848.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $358.47 52 $18,640.44 $18,700.53 $-1,207.96
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $380.83 49 $18,660.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $386.45 49 $18,936.05 $18,975.91 +$275.38
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $402.80 50 $20,140.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $381.86 50 $19,092.75 $17,928.41 $-1,047.50
(-5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $382.05 46 $17,574.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 46 $18,534.09 $18,888.20 +$959.79
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $418.80 45 $18,846.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $427.35 45 $19,230.75 $19,272.73 +$384.53
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $418.46 46 $19,249.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $393.35 46 $18,093.87 $18,117.44 $-1,155.29
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $395.20 45 $17,784.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $369.81 45 $16,641.45 $16,974.78 $-1,142.66
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.84 46 $16,690.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.69 46 $16,407.74 $16,691.88 $-282.90
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $367.32 45 $16,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $369.15 45 $16,611.75 $16,774.23 +$82.35
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $367.26 45 $16,526.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $344.39 45 $15,497.55 $15,745.30 $-1,028.92
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:20am ET $354.74 44 $15,608.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET $362.04 44 $15,929.76 $16,066.50 +$321.20
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $362.92 44 $15,968.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $341.05 44 $15,006.20 $15,104.01 $-962.49
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $341.47 44 $15,024.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 44 $15,823.50 $15,902.83 +$798.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,902.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,902.83
Total Return: +59.03%
Back to Band Snapper