Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:57:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.4

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$628.42
Current Value
$15,669.35
Period P&L
$-6,356.66
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+6.08%
Worst Trade
-9.73%
Avg Trade Return
-1.54%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$587,668.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,356.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,356.66
Gross Return
-1011.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-1011.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $628.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $340.79 61 $20,787.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $348.39 61 $21,251.49 $21,270.24 +$463.60
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $340.79 61 $20,787.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $361.50 61 $22,051.50 $22,533.85 +$1,263.61
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $368.70 61 $22,491.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $355.01 61 $21,655.61 $21,698.46 $-835.39
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $352.90 61 $21,527.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:25am ET $370.98 61 $22,629.48 $22,800.73 +$1,102.27
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $370.73 61 $22,614.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $345.30 61 $21,063.30 $21,249.50 $-1,551.23
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $355.82 59 $20,993.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 59 $18,956.11 $19,211.97 $-2,037.52
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $368.70 61 $22,491.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $332.84 61 $20,303.24 $17,024.21 $-2,187.76
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $374.07 45 $16,833.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $355.77 45 $16,009.65 $16,200.71 $-823.50
(-4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $352.60 45 $15,866.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $346.80 45 $15,606.00 $15,939.93 $-260.78
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $341.93 46 $15,728.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 46 $15,997.88 $16,209.03 +$269.10
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $341.93 46 $15,728.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 46 $15,942.68 $16,422.93 +$213.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $340.12 48 $16,325.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $334.35 48 $16,048.80 $16,145.97 $-276.96
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $340.12 48 $16,325.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $342.54 48 $16,441.92 $16,262.13 +$116.16
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $337.94 48 $16,221.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $330.32 48 $15,855.12 $15,896.13 $-366.00
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $339.88 46 $15,634.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $345.90 46 $15,911.40 $16,173.05 +$276.92
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.81 46 $16,045.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.86 46 $15,541.56 $15,669.35 $-503.70
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,669.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,669.35
Total Return: +56.69%
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