Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.5/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 63.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 63.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-8.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-62 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$451.46
Current Value
$21,797.91
Period P&L
$-4,706.49
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-6.24%
Avg Trade Return
-1.22%
Avg Hold Time
7.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$650,817.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,706.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,706.49
Gross Return
-1042.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-1042.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $451.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,075.00 24 $25,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,033.98 24 $24,815.46 $25,013.95 $-984.54
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,075.00 24 $25,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.90 24 $25,173.60 $24,387.55 $-626.40
(-2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $1,043.68 23 $24,004.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.71 23 $24,304.33 $24,687.24 +$299.69
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 11:10am ET $1,132.73 21 $23,787.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,062.02 21 $22,302.37 $23,202.27 $-1,484.96
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET $1,063.12 21 $22,325.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,083.24 21 $22,748.04 $23,624.79 +$422.52
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $1,043.68 23 $24,004.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $1,000.01 23 $23,000.23 $22,620.38 $-1,004.41
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $1,018.24 22 $22,401.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $1,070.68 22 $23,554.96 $23,773.95 +$1,153.57
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $1,060.75 22 $23,336.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $1,037.69 22 $22,829.18 $23,266.63 $-507.32
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:55am ET $1,041.01 22 $22,902.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:55am ET $1,050.64 22 $23,114.08 $23,478.49 +$211.86
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $1,026.35 22 $22,579.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $1,035.88 22 $22,789.36 $23,688.15 +$209.66
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,050.00 22 $23,100.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $1,028.18 22 $22,619.85 $23,208.00 $-480.15
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,050.00 22 $23,100.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $1,036.70 22 $22,807.51 $22,915.51 $-292.49
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET $1,033.50 22 $22,737.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,010.33 22 $22,227.26 $22,405.77 $-509.74
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $983.18 22 $21,629.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $955.55 22 $21,022.10 $21,797.91 $-607.86
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,797.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,797.91
Total Return: +117.98%
Back to Band Snapper